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Month: October 2011

Libya – the end game?

Libya – the end game?

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BBC News Where does this leave Libya, the Arab Spring and UK politics? With unconfirmed reports that Gadaffi is captured, injured or even dead, the Libyan revolution looks to be almost complete. It still leaves the Middle-East in a state of flux though. Egypthas not had the promised elections, Syria remains in ferment, Bahrain unstable and other leaders will be watching warily. Domestically, Liam Fox may well be cursing his (largely self-inflicted) luck on the backbenchers that Gadaffi wasn’t found a week…

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Could Dave’s women problem boost Yvette’s chances?

Could Dave’s women problem boost Yvette’s chances?

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Is now the moment for a female Labour leader? There are two big trends being featured in almost all of the polling: Firstly that Ed Miliband’s personal ratings remain dreadful and it’s hard to see how, given the importance of leaders in determining election outcomes, that his party could win with him at the helm. At the same time Cameron and the Tories continue to have problems appealing to women voters. In both the leader ratings and voter intention almost…

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NightHawks – Our Genial Host returns tomorrow

NightHawks – Our Genial Host returns tomorrow

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The final NightHawks thread then before Mike Smithson returns to the fray tomorrow – as we speak he is on the Madrid-Paris sleeper. Can I take this opportunity to thank everyone for their support while Mike has been away, and as ever, it’s been pretty eventful. Huge thanks to the rest of the team who have contributed so magnificently in Mike’s absence – David, Henry, Morus, and Mark Gill for their articles, to Marf for the cartoons, and to the…

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So will the Commons vote for a referendum…?

So will the Commons vote for a referendum…?

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(… and if it did – would one be held?…) Take part in the PB poll Will MPs vote in favour of holding a referendum on EU membership? YES they will NO they won’t      Mike Smithson is back from Andalucía tomorrow.

Is it worth nearly 2-1 that it won’t be Romney?

Is it worth nearly 2-1 that it won’t be Romney?

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Does Mitt really have a 65% chance of getting the nomination? Overnight in Las Vegas we’ve had what is becoming almost a weekly fixture – the latest debate between the contenders for the Republican Party nomination for next year’s White House race. Beforehand the pundits were saying that this was the moment that Herman Cain was going to be “found out”. Certainly he had to face greater scrutiny than usual simply because he’s moved sharply up the polling and at…

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Nighthawks – open for business again

Nighthawks – open for business again

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Nighthawks open thread Continue discussion here for overnight developments, as tomorrow’s papers’ front pages are released, and as the next in the series of debates for Republican hopefuls takes place, which is sponsored by CNN and begins at 1am BST (8pm EST). David Herdson

Will Fox return to the cabinet?

Will Fox return to the cabinet?

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Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 Generic How long will Cameron keep him on the backbenches? David Blunkett, Peter Mandelson (twice), Michael Heseltine, Anthony Eden, Harold Wilson and Winston Churchill all did it. They are among the few to return to the cabinet after having previously resigned for something other than electoral defeat. After Fox’s departure this week, the question is whether he’ll buck the odds and join the select band. It is not likely to be an easy route. After nearly…

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