Browsed by
Month: September 2011

Leader ratings: How Ed Miliband compares?

Leader ratings: How Ed Miliband compares?

Comments 0 Comment

Can a LOTO with low ratings ever win? Today, as reported on the previous thread, we’ve had the Ipsos-MORI September political monitor for Reuters. The voting intention figures were CON 35 (+1): LAB 37 (-3): LD 13 (-2) showing the changes from August. The poll also includes MORI leader satisfaction ratings which have been asked in the same form for nearly a third of a century. The firm’s question format “How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way ……

Read More Read More

Hurry! Get your money on a 2015 election at evens or better

Hurry! Get your money on a 2015 election at evens or better

Comments 0 Comment

May 7th 2015 must now be pretty certain Last night the coalition five-year fixed-term Parliaments Bill completed its final stages in the House of Lords after peers dropped an attempt to include a provision under which would mean it would have to be renewed after every election. A compromise was reached under which a committee will be set up to look at the workings of fixed-term Parliaments in 2020. For gamblers this means that the next general election is now…

Read More Read More

Wedesday’s PB Nighthawks Cafe

Wedesday’s PB Nighthawks Cafe

Comments 0 Comment

Will any PBers be in Birmingham on Monday evening? Next week I’m planning to spend a couple of days at the Lib Dem conference in Birmingham and I wondered if there were an PBers with easy access to the city who could make a very informal gathering on Monday evening. This is NOT just for conference attendees. Nick Palmer’s going to be there and we were thinking of having a curry. Are there others who would like to join us…

Read More Read More

Would Labour get a majority on the Populus figures?

Would Labour get a majority on the Populus figures?

Comments 0 Comment

What will the boundaries do for Labour’s target? For various reasons I’m just catching up with today’s Times Populus poll which shows very little change on what the firm reported in July. An interesting question is whether a Labour 4 point lead would now be enough for a majority? A few weeks after the 2010 general election Professior John Curtice produded figures suggesting that the Conservatives would need a margin of 11.2% in votes over Labour to secure a majority…

Read More Read More

Welcome to Tory MajorityLand, Mr Cameron

Welcome to Tory MajorityLand, Mr Cameron

Comments 0 Comment

Update 2: Yes, I know there are problems with the current discussion system. But I need to get some sleep, so you’ll all have to wait until tomorrow before they’re fixed. In no particular order, the things that will be changed are: 1. No nesting of replies 2. A reintroduction of comment numbering 3. A removal of the image posting facility 4. Absolute, rather than relative, timestamps on comments 5. Some pretty-fying, so the commenters’ name is not so large…

Read More Read More

Sorry PB Nighthawks – there’ll be technical outages tonight

Sorry PB Nighthawks – there’ll be technical outages tonight

Comments 0 Comment

As my son Robert, who handles the technical side of PB, has reported there’ll be periods of outages overnight as enhancements are made to PB’s technical infrastructure. He’ll give advanced warnings and hopefully the site will return to normal tomorrow. I’ve been tied up with medical tests for most of today and haven’t been able to monitor the political or technical developments although I was a guest on Iain Dale’s LBC programme earlier in the evening. Have a good evening….

Read More Read More

Site Maintenance

Site Maintenance

Comments 0 Comment

Political Betting will be off-line tonight between about 1am and 4am. Hopefully, come tomorrow morning it will all be working perfectly. Thanks, Robert