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ICM / News of the World Poll Suggests Cabinet Clear-out An ICM poll reported in the News of the World and being prominently reported on Sky News suggests that seven cabinet ministers would lose their seats in a general election. The poll was carried out last Wednesday – before the local election results, reshuffle and ministerial resignations – in what the paper describes as “the 18 constituencies represented by main Cabinet Ministers”.  It’s not clear what this means: there are…

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Might the ex-Home Secretary be Labour’s Stalking Elephant? Today’s big news really ought to be the European Parliament election results this evening, though given the way the last few days have gone, there’s no guarantee that something even more dramatic won’t scoop it. Still, as they won’t come out until this evening, let’s have another look at the Labour leadership situation. Once again, the Sunday newspapers are dreadful for Gordon Brown, with stories of (old) e-mails sent by Peter Mandelson…

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And Mandelson emails say Brown can’t win Two critical developments this evening that could impact on Gordon’s chances of surviving: the leak of email by Peter Mandelson saying that Brown cannot win and his visit to the D-Day celebrations in Normandy when he apparently got booed by veterans and in his speech he mistakenly referred to Omaha beach as being “Obama Beach” The alleged Mandelson emails, written in January last year while he was still an EU commissioner, are in…

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A new YouGov poll, just out, of Labour members for Channel 4, finds that “a majority think he should step down before the next election – and more than one in five think he should go now.” The Channel 4 report is a bit short on the actual numbers and we are not told when the survey was carried out or what the sample size was. We do know, however, that the online pollster has been able to all-Labour members…

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It’s Gord that’s the problem – however much they deny it I’ve just been listening to Radio 4’s “The Week in Westminster” and Diane Abbott MP was lucidly arguing that it’s the MPs expense scandal and the economy that’s behind Labour’s travails – NOT Gordon Brown. Once we get to the election, she argued, everything would depend on the economy and who was seen to best placed to deal with it. During a lively discussion the old Clinton mantra “It’s…

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What to do you think the Great Britain Tory vote will be in the Euro Elections? 0 – 24.9% 25 – 25.9% 26 – 26.9% 27 – 27.9% 28 – 28.9% 29 – 29.9% 30 – 30.9% 31% – 100%    Which party will be in SECOND PLACE in terms of vote share in the GB Euro Election? LABOUR LIB DEM UKIP None of the above    Which party will be in THIRD PLACE in terms of vote share in…

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And what about the Euros and now the Norwich by election? We knew this was going to be one helluva political day and so it has been. Right through the night to Browns late afternoon press conference when news came through of Caroline Flint’s resignation. There’s an interesting story there that we haven’t heard the last of. She gave Gord a strong endorsement last night just as James Purnell was doing his worst – why just nineteen hours later is…

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