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Month: July 2008

Who’ll remember what this was supposed to be about?

Who’ll remember what this was supposed to be about?

Will Davis think that it’s all been worth it on Friday? When David Davis first made his extraordinary move to resign his seat and force a by-election I asked whether many people would remember the original cause on polling day. Well that is now only two days away and all the political focus is on another election several hundred miles away in Glasgow. It’s hard to see Davis being beaten in Haltemprice and Howden but turnout is likely to be…

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How dangerous a line is this for Cameron?

How dangerous a line is this for Cameron?

How will the poor takes lessons on their plight from an Old-Etonian? A day after Gordon Brown was lecturing us about not wasting food the Times is splashing Cameron’s speech yesterday when he said that some of those “who are poor, fat or addicted to alcohol or drugs have only themselves to blame.” The report goes on:“In a conscious shift of strategy, the Tory leader said he would not shirk from discussing public morality and claimed that social problems were…

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The favourite pulls out of the Dems V-P race

The favourite pulls out of the Dems V-P race

Will Kathleen Sebelius become the punters’ choice? Big changes in the betting on who will fill the V-P slot alongside Barack Obama following a statement within the past hour by Senator Jim Webb from Virginia. In a statement Webb said: “Last week I communicated to Senator Obama and his presidential campaign my firm intention to remain in the United States Senate, where I believe I am best equipped to serve the people of Virginia and this country. Under no circumstances…

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Tory lead down to 13% with Populus poll

Tory lead down to 13% with Populus poll

The July Populus survey for the Times is coming out this evening and some information is starting to come out. I have not got the figures yet but the Tory lead is the second highest ever from the pollster – which means that there has been a recovery since June when it was C45-L25-LD 20. UPDATE: The shares are: CON 41% (-4): LAB 28% (+3): LD 19% (-1) One of the headline items is that most Labour voters think that…

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Is Harriet worth a punt as next Prime Minister?

Is Harriet worth a punt as next Prime Minister?

Will her deputy victory last year put her in a strong position? I’ve had a soft spot for Harriet Harman as a betting prospect after tipping her in June 2007 when she was 9/1 to become the Deputy Leader of the Labour party. Now, according to today’s Daily Mail, she is quietly pitching herself as the best option for a stand-in prime minster should a vacancy occur. The paper says that MPs acting on her behalf are quietly testing opinion…

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Have the secret briefers cried “Wolf” too often?

Have the secret briefers cried “Wolf” too often?

Why should we believe them this time? Yet again this morning’s papers feature “senior ministers” who don’t want to be identified warning of dire consequences for Gordon Brown if Labour fails an upcoming electoral test. Sounds familiar? Yes – we’ve heard it all before. Just go back only a couple of months and the same was being said ahead of the local elections and the London Mayoral contest. Labour did badly and what happened? Brown stayed. Then later in May…

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In the Sunday Papers

In the Sunday Papers

Two columnists in the Independent consider the long-running Brown saga, with John Rentoul declaring that Labour awaits “The Issue” to topple Gordon, while Alan Watkins in the above piece argues that “tomorrow never comes” for Labour MPs: “His colleagues, if they do it at all – if they get rid of the Prime Minister – will do it tomorrow. But tomorrow never comes. A hurdle is erected for Mr Brown to jump, or, at least, to scramble over somehow. He…

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Could either of these become the greatest Tim in history?

Could either of these become the greatest Tim in history?

Are Kaine (left) and Pawlenty (right) on-track for the Vice-Presidency? “If Henman ever wants to win Wimbledon, he’ll have to change his name. Henman was the first person named Tim to achieve anything at all… The (name’s) association is with ‘timid’ and ‘timorous’ from the Latin ‘timere’: to fear … The real puzzle is that the Tims do as well as they do.” – Martin Amis (as found on InsideTennis) Amis was wrong in at least one respect – the…

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