Ladbrokes have some markets on some events that may occur in 2013.

I’m quite intrigued by the YouGov one, in 2012, they produced nearly 250 VI polls, I’d expect a similar number in 2013, we could always have a rogue poll, the last Tory lead with YouGov was the 2nd of March 2012.

The Boris Johnson one also looks interesting, as he as a history of such situations, as does the reality tv one, but the wording of it seems a bit ambiguous at best.

The full betting opportunities.

• Conservatives to be ahead in any YouGov Westminster voting intention poll in 2013 2/1
• Any Tory MP to defect to UKIP 3/1
• Any MP arrested 1/2
• Gay marriage legalised evens
• UK Euro referendum held 10/1
• UK to leave EU 33/1
• Any MP to abscond from duty to do reality tv 20/1
• An extra bank holiday to be granted in the UK 10/1
• Any MP to have a top 10 single 20/1
• Boris Johnson to get trapped anywhere/caught in anything on camera 3/1

 

TSE