so the french guy who yolo’d $30m on trump on polymarket noticed polls asking “who are your neighbors voting for?” instead of “who are you voting for?” had trump overperforming.
Fascinating from WSJ: a French trader called Théo, who bet hugely on Trump winning with popular vote & all 7 swing states & is collecting $50m earnings… Why was he so sure? So-called “neighbor polls” which revealed Trump’s strength and Harris weakness:https://t.co/r4KiLZvxrLpic.twitter.com/aDsGaKccPf