Vice President Kamala Harris has stormed into contention in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, according to new polls from The New York Times and Siena College. https://t.co/XfH5z0BEEE

— The New York Times (@nytimes) August 17, 2024

Kamala Harris puts the Sun Belt back in play, with the race tied across AZ, NC, NV, GA
AZ: Harris 50, Trump 45
GA: Trump 50, Harris 46
NV: Trump 48, Harris 47
NC: Harris 49, Trump 47https://t.co/IGTZftpHUJ

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) August 17, 2024

I probably wouldn't focus too much on the exact results by state. Individual state polls are a little noisy, and we were bound to get some head-scratchers eventually after conveniently getting identical 50-46 results in each of PA/MI/WI

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) August 17, 2024

If you *have* to dive into the specific states, you can look a little bit at what I wrote here. I do think that if we re-polled GA and AZ tomorrow, we'd probably find a closer race, simply by chance, just given what we've found in those states in prior Times/Siena polls this…

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) August 17, 2024

I do think that our NV poll continued to show signs of relatively 'deep' Democratic weakness — 10% of Biden '20 voters backing Trump; 10% of registered Dems backing Trump. In general, I take intra-party defection fairly seriously; there's probably more work for Dems here

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) August 17, 2024