Poll Date CON (%) LAB (%) LD (%) ICM Guardian 29/09/10 35 37 18 ICM/Guardian 15/08/10 37 37 18 ICM/Guardian 25/07/10 38 34 19 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 24/06/10 41 35 16 ICM/Guardian 20/06/10 39 31 21 ICM/Guardian 23/05/10 39 32 21 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 13/05/10 38 33 21 Labour take 2 point lead in first post EdM phone poll There’s a new ICM poll in the Guardian which once again is showing a very different picture of public opinion from that which…
Best PM ? All voters% CON voters% LAB voters% LD voters% David Cameron 40 97 5 13 Ed Miliband 24 1 68 4 Nick Clegg 8 1 4 55 Don’t know 28 2 23 27 But is it just because EdM is relatively unknown? We now have the first data from YouGov of responses to the “Who would make the best PM” question since Ed Miliband’s election. This is one of those questions where the incumbent has a big advantage…
Daily Mail Could Labour be heading for a second family crisis? After Labour’s conference in Manchester was overshadowed by the aftermath of the battle of the brothers the media are now turning their attention to another potential family drama at the top of the party – which of husband & wife, Ed Balls and Yvette Cooper, will end up as shadow chancellor? For it’s not so long ago that Yvette was being strongly tipped as a leadership contender and she’s…
Poll Date CON LAB LD YouGov/Sun 29/09/10 41 39 12 YouGov/Sun 28/09/10 41 40 12 YouGov/Sun 27/09/10 39 40 12 YouGov/Sunday Times 24/09/10 39 38 15 YouGov/Sun 23/09/10 41 37 13 YouGov/Sun 22/09/10 43 36 14 YouGov/Sun 21/09/10 39 39 13 YouGov/Sun 20/09/10 42 38 11 YouGov/Sunday Times 17/09/10 41 39 13 YouGov/Sun 16/09/10 41 38 12 YouGov/Sun 15/09/10 42 39 12 YouGov/Sun 14/09/10 40 39 12 YouGov/Sun 13/09/10 41 38 12 YouGov/Sunday Times 10/09/10 42 38 14 YouGov/Sun 09/09/10…
Smarkets Shadow Chancellor Odds Potential Win Ed Balls 55.00% £10 wins £18 Yvette Cooper 42.00% £10 wins £23 Any other Labour MP 28.00% £10 wins £35 Andy Burnham 20.00% £10 wins £50 Alan Johnson 9.00% £10 wins £111 Liam Byrne 5.00% £10 wins £200 Smarkets Foreign Secretary Odds Potential Win Andy Burnham 30.00% £10 wins £33 Any other Labour member 26.67% £10 wins £37 Yvette Cooper 25.00% £10 wins £40 Hilary Benn 22.00% £10 wins £45 Ed Balls 20.00% £10…
So who’ll be “The Next Leader Of the Next Generation?” Hats off to Ladbrokes for being first off the mark to price up a market on the next Labour leader after Ed Miliband. Given Labour’s loyalty to its leaders it’s quite likely that Ed Miliband will be leader for the next two general elections. His successor is likely to be a new MP. Not only are political leaders younger, as Michael Crick astutely pointed out recently, young candidates have a…
Channel 4 News Will the sore continue to fester? The beaten brother in Labour’s leadership election, David Miliband, is expected to make a statement today that could see the end of a front-line role in British politics. Certainly the way that the coverage of his bother’s maiden speech developed into the story of his reprimand to Harriet Harman for clapping the statement that the Iraq war was a mistake was a good illustration of what’s likely to happen if he…
FT blogs There are a number of reports that beaten leadership contender, David Miliband, has left Manchester and is on his way back to London. There’s a strong suggestion that he hasn’t filled in his shadow cabinet papers which have to be in by 5pm tomorrow. If so then it would appear that he’s backing down from front-line politics. The day must have been very challenging with the big story this evening being the comments he was seen to have…