Final 2 polling in French Presidential Election. If Macron makes final 2 he looks set to win but he's currently 3rdhttps://t.co/EeQ4equdzY pic.twitter.com/vOAuINymEp — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 27, 2017 Top 3 in the French Presidential race with latest odds pic.twitter.com/P0EGbCYCAh — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 27, 2017 Tweet
A good guide for Trump exit year punters So far quite a few bookies have got markets up on which year Trump will cease to be President. The options range from this year, 2017, until January 2025 which is when he would leave the White House after securing and serviing a second full term. But he’s made enough waves in his first few days for consideration to be given to the betting possibilities of him going earlier. These are the…
Kilmarnock East and Hurlford on East Ayrshire caused by the death of the sitting Scottish National Party member Result of council at last election (2012): Scottish National Party 15, Labour 14, Conservatives 2, Independent 1 (No Overall Control, Scottish National Party short by 2) Result of ward at last election (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected Scottish National Party 944, 1,126 (47%) Labour 1,054, 984 (46%) Conservative 326 (7%) EU Referendum Result (2016): REMAIN 33,891 (59%) LEAVE 23,942 (41%) on a…
BREXIT appears to have the least salience with LAB voters & C2DEs One of those involved in the LDs recent successes observed to me recently they were finding that those opposed to BREXIT have much stronger feelings about the issue than those who aren’t. In many ways this is understandable because they are against the status quo and everything is moving towards the UK leaving the EU. I’ve been pondering over this for some time and have been looking for…
Was the referendum decision right or wrong? On this week’s podcast, Keiran is joined by Labour blogger and political activist Jade Azim and Addin365 CEO and tech entrepreneur Suzy Dean to discuss the recent women’s march, feminism and whether Britain made a mistake in deciding to leave the European Union. This week’s podcast was particularly lively as Suzy and Jade hold very different views on feminism and Brexit. Jade attended the recent march in London and voted Remain whilst Suzy…
This is scary. When asked by YouGov US 15% of Trump voters responded that pic on the left had more people in it.https://t.co/2gq3dUkl9w pic.twitter.com/uTtII50SGw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 25, 2017 Tweet
The numbers caused LAB to focus on the DPM when they could have been saving Balls There’s been a fair bit of discussion about how difficult single seat polling is and I was reminded on Twitter this morning of the polling at GE2015 of Sheffield Hallam. The numbers are above. Five consecutive polls had LAB ahead. As can be seen there was a pretty consistent picture that the then DPM,, who still arouses excitement amongst red tribalists, was in trouble…
How the Express is reporting the Stoke central "poll" which wasn't. I'm told it was Facebook survey of 179 people pic.twitter.com/pVlmrSXTu5 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 25, 2017 A big move in the betting overnight to UKIP in the Stoke central by-election following reports what was described as a poll. It wasn't. pic.twitter.com/HUHxWp9LL2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 25, 2017 Note that polls can only be described as valid if they aim to have a representative sample of relevant voters….