The search for the answer to Labour’s woes

The search for the answer to Labour’s woes

What happens when the focus is on “knocking on doors” John Prescott’s view that Jeremy Corbyn and his top team are “not up to the f***ing job” which earned him a “potty mouth Prescott” headline  in the Mail on Sunday won’t have come as surprise to the Labour leader. I understand that the former deputy Prime Minister has said as much to Corbyn’s face. “You’re not a leader and you never will be while you’ve got a hole in your…

Read More Read More

The Tory MP for Thanet South and his agent have been questioned under caution over their election expenses

The Tory MP for Thanet South and his agent have been questioned under caution over their election expenses

EXCL: Tory MP Craig Mackinlay interviewed under caution for six hours over South Thanet election expenses: https://t.co/eDhdlnRIQK — Kate McCann (@KateEMcCann) March 14, 2017 The Telegraph are reporting that. Conservative MP Craig Mackinlay was questioned by Police under caution last week over his election expenses, the Telegraph can reveal. The South Thanet MP reportedly spent six hours being interviewed by officers over alleged overspending in the 2015 election campaign in which he beat Nigel Farage and Al Murray, the Pub…

Read More Read More

Why Sturgeon’s SIndy2 isn’t a gamble; it’s a necessity

Why Sturgeon’s SIndy2 isn’t a gamble; it’s a necessity

In addition, I was elected as FM on a clear manifesto commitment re #scotref. The PM is not yet elected by anyone. — Nicola Sturgeon (@NicolaSturgeon) March 14, 2017 Her window of opportunity could be closing The SNP exists to achieve independence for Scotland. This simple fact shouldn’t really need stating but keeping it at the forefront of our minds is crucial to understanding why what’s going on is going on, and how events might pan out in future. As…

Read More Read More

Your guide to betting on tomorrow’s Dutch election

Your guide to betting on tomorrow’s Dutch election

Embed from Getty Images The first of the big 3 elections in EU countries this year After the last Ice Age, Britain and the Netherlands were joined by land. The Thames and the Rhine were part of a single river system.  Following an inundation caused by a megatsunami, the two were separated, ironically, under a torrent of water. In 2016, European politics was hit by the megatsunami of Brexit, separating Britain from the rest of Europe.  Are there previously joined…

Read More Read More

As we edge towards the enactment of the A50 Bill Nicola has just made Theresa’s task harder

As we edge towards the enactment of the A50 Bill Nicola has just made Theresa’s task harder

The political price of hard brexit could be a smaller UK TMay’s reaction to Sturgeon’s InyRef2 announcement was that the Scottish FM and SNP leader was “playing politics” – a term I generally conclude to mean that what’s been said has been highly effective. Certainly the suggestions that TMay might defer invoking A50 until the end of the month suggests there’s a need to look again at her strategy and the rhetoric she will deploy when the formal process of…

Read More Read More

The opening IndyRef2 odds make it odds-on that it’ll take place and odds-on that Scotland will vote YES

The opening IndyRef2 odds make it odds-on that it’ll take place and odds-on that Scotland will vote YES

Lots of activity from the bookies following Nicola Stugeon’s announcement that the SNP is going for a second IndyRef because of the vastly changed circumstances as a result of BREXIT. The Ladbrokes betting: Ladbrokes latest betting Next Independence Referendum 4/6 Before end 2020 11/10 Not before end of 2020 Year of next Independence Referendum 25 2017 7/4 2018 5/2 2019 10 2020 11/10 2021 or later Result of next Referendum 8/11 YES 11/10 NO (If held before end 2020) WILLIAM HILL…. SECOND…

Read More Read More

The persistence of kippers – looking at where post-referendum UKIP is now

The persistence of kippers – looking at where post-referendum UKIP is now

Most polls still have the purples in double figures They are routinely derided by others.  The press loves to print stories of their wackier examples.  They are marginalised.  Their public figures are held up to ridicule.  Yet they make up roughly one in ten of the adult population.  I write, of course, of UKIP supporters. Who are these people?  Where do they come from?  And why, eight months after Leave won the referendum and with the vote being implemented in…

Read More Read More

Opinium: Most of those polled say 2nd Scottish IndyRef ‘not justified’ but only one in three sure of a no vote if one happens

Opinium: Most of those polled say 2nd Scottish IndyRef ‘not justified’ but only one in three sure of a no vote if one happens

With Scottish Independence back on the agenda and Northern Ireland heading for crisis, Keiran Pedley argues that London is far too complacent about the future of the Union. Following last week’s poll by Ipsos Mori showing an apparent spike in support for Scottish Independence and Jeremy Corbyn’s comments this weekend suggesting that he is ‘fine’ with a second referendum, it feels like a good time to unveil the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey. Our latest survey focused on UK…

Read More Read More