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A four horse race is now emerging in France following the rise of leftist Jean-Luc Mélenchon

10/4/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Wikipedia With just 13 days to go till the first round of voting the big move in the polls has been the leftist contender,Jean-Luc Mélenchon, following what are being seen as strong TV debate performances. One poll during the weekend had him on 19% just 4 points Le Len and Macron and at the same level as the Republican Fillon. For the moment he seems to have momentum with him and we do know that there are much higher proportion…

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Can Vladimir Putin make Jeremy Corbyn Prime Minister?

9/4/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Picture: Vladimir Putin meeting French Presidential candidate Marine Le Pen. If Putin made Donald Trump President why couldn’t Putin make Corbyn PM? For us political gamblers one of the things we’re now having to factor in to our bets is which candidate or party is Vladimir Putin backing. It just isn’t those gamblers who wear tin foil hats who are wondering about this. Even that well known Democratic Party member and liberal snowflake Dick Cheney recently commented that Russia’s alleged…

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Betting on whether Paul Nuttall will still be UKIP leader at the end of 2017

9/4/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

William Hill have a market up on whether Paul Nuttall will still be UKIP leader at the end of 2017, to be honest neither of the odds seem attractive to me. After failing so spectacularly in the capital of Brexit against a poor Labour candidate who was the living embodiment of David Cameron’s maxim about Twitter, coupled with the fun with his CV, and Douglas Carswell and Mark Reckless leaving UKIP on Nuttall’s watch would all be indicators for someone who…

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In the local by-elections since last May the parties supported mostly by REMAINERs have performed best

8/4/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

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Richard Nabavi on Emmanuel Macron’s Cohabitation Conundrum

8/4/2017 Editor Comments 0 Comment

If the polls are to be believed, in a few weeks’ time Emmanuel Macron will be president of France, having easily seen off Marine Le Pen in the second round of voting. Pundits will opine that populism has been defeated, and chaos averted. This will be a premature verdict. Macron’s rise to pole position in French politics has been an astonishing one. He has never held elected office before; indeed the presidential contest is the first election he has ever…

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It is organisation more than BREXIT that is driving the Lib Dem resurgence

7/4/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The latest local by elections with an LD gain from UKIP on a whopping 26% swing top off what has been a good week for the LDs. Firstly there have been the Rallings/Thrasher and Lord Robert Hayward May elections’ projection suggesting that the yellows are in for a substantial number of gains on May 4th. In addition to that we have had news of the private Crosby Textor constituency polling for the Tories suggesting that the party is set to…

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Terrible night for UKIP in latest locals losing the two seats it won last time. LDs & CON the gainers

7/4/2017 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Elmhurst on Aylesbury Vale (UKIP defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Liberal Democrat 785 (64% +38%), Labour 151 (12% -10%), Conservative 147 (12% -9%), United Kingdom Independence Party 111 (9% -14%), Green Party 43 (4% -4%) Liberal Democrat GAIN from United Kingdom Independence Party with a majority of 634 (52%) on a swing of 24% from Labour to Liberal Democrat (26% from UKIP to Lib Dem) Walcot on Bath and North East Somerset (Lib Dem defence, resignation of sitting member)…

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BREAKING: Trump orders cruise missile attack on Syria following the chemical weapon attack

7/4/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The new President’s first major military intervention Trump said: “Tonight I ordered a targeted military strike on the airfield in Syria from where the chemical attack was launched. It is in this vital national security interest of the United States to prevent and deter the spread and use of deadly chemical weapons. There can be no dispute that Syria used banned chemical weapons, violated its obligations under the chemical weapons convention, and ignored the urging of the UN security council….

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