Trump’s New American Revolution

Trump’s New American Revolution

He can’t govern in slogans but they’ll take him a long way Inaugurations set the tone for a presidency and Trump undoubtedly set his yesterday: life will be different – for DC, for Europe, for China and for the world. In an extraordinarily pugnacious address, which might have been lifted direct from his campaign rallies, Trump served notice that the Old Order is dead as far as he is concerned. There will be no more Beltway politics, benefitting lobbyists and…

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After a dramatic and historic day the world has changed and we have yet to fully appreciate what the Trump presidency means

After a dramatic and historic day the world has changed and we have yet to fully appreciate what the Trump presidency means

Following such an extraordinary day it is very hard to fully assimilate what we have seen and heard in Washington. Certainly the new President has given strong indications about his direction of travel and that is going to have huge implications in many different parts of the world including the UK and Europe. This was an inauguration speech like no other which very much reflects the  individual personality of the new President. At the same time it was quite moving seeing…

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And now the fourth Presidential Inauguration since PB was founded in 2004

And now the fourth Presidential Inauguration since PB was founded in 2004

A sneak preview of Donald Trump's #inauguration address. pic.twitter.com/achgl0nOt5 — James Melville ? (@JamesMelville) January 18, 2017 https://twitter.com/nickc909/status/822407583872991232 A new US President is a reminder how long PB has been around. The site was founded in March 2004 when George W was the incumbent and beat John Kerry in that extraordinarily tight election. Four years later it was Barack Obama who had been tipped on the site when he was 50/1. Obama was re-elected in 2012 and now, of course,…

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Cyclefree asks are Banks the new Unions?

Cyclefree asks are Banks the new Unions?

Embed from Getty Images Back in the 1970’s unions were seen – and saw themselves – as a key constituency whom government had to listen to and consult.  Whether beer and sandwiches were actually served at Number 10 was less important than the perception and the reality that governments felt that it was wise to consult the unions on industrial matters and wider economic policy.  And this was done because of a desire to achieve consensus, to be seen as…

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Labour chooses a Corbyn critic to fight Copeland and this and the Stoke Central by-elections could be next month

Labour chooses a Corbyn critic to fight Copeland and this and the Stoke Central by-elections could be next month

https://twitter.com/jimwaterson/status/822203695559544833 Big developments tonight in the two by-elections where LAB is defending seats where the sitting MPs are standing down to pursue other careers. According to Kevin Schofield of PoiticsHome Labour is planning to hold the two contests on the same day – something that always seemed likely. It had been thought that the party would have waited until My 4th – when elections are taking place in many parts of the country and we have the first mayoral elections…

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Just one council by-election tonight – a CON defence in the midlands

Just one council by-election tonight – a CON defence in the midlands

Norton on Bromsgrove (caused by the death of the sitting Conservative councillor) Result of council at last election (2015): Conservatives 18, Labour 7, Independents 3, Wythall Ratepayers 3 (Conservative majority of 5) Result of ward at last election (2015): Conservative 943 (60%), Labour 467 (30%), Green 166 (11%) EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 26,252 (45%) LEAVE 32,563 (55%) on a turnout of 79% Candidates duly nominated: Michelle Baker (Green), Rory Shannon (Lab), Adrian Smart (UKIP), Michael Webb (Con) Weather at the…

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Timing is everything. A review of Theresa May’s speech

Timing is everything. A review of Theresa May’s speech

Embed from Getty Images   There is a tide in the affairs of men. Which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune; Omitted, all the voyage of their life Is bound in shallows and in miseries. On such a full sea are we now afloat, And we must take the current when it serves, Or lose our ventures. Julius Caesar Act 4, scene 3, 218–224 Whatever else you think of Brexit, we are being led by powerful currents taking…

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This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast looks at Theresa May’s speech and looks ahead to Trump’s inauguration

This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast looks at Theresa May’s speech and looks ahead to Trump’s inauguration

This week’s podcast is split into two parts. In part one, Keiran is joined in the studio by Adam Drummond, Head of Political Polling at Opinium. Keiran and Adam discuss all things data in the aftermath of Theresa May’s big Brexit speech. They discuss the public’s reaction to May’s speech, attitudes to ‘Hard’ and ‘Soft’ Brexits (and why numbers are not always what they seem), immigration polling, May’s approval ratings and polling on the NHS. Keiran also explains why he…

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