Tories take a 24% lead with YouGov. Can they poll 50% and above?

Tories take a 24% lead with YouGov. Can they poll 50% and above?

Comments 0 Comment

EXC: Tonight Tories on 48% in the first YouGov poll taken since Theresa May called election – highest since May 2008 pic.twitter.com/awaKs7V0Yv — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) April 19, 2017 What that @YouGov poll would look like at a general election. Tory majority of 186 pic.twitter.com/bRqvp6qmIx — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 19, 2017 As Labour head for the mother and father of all shellackings, if Corbyn had any honour or love for Labour he’d stand down now but INDEPENDENT DIGITAL Revealed:…

Read More Read More

Why the Conservatives may fall short of their hopes

Why the Conservatives may fall short of their hopes

Comments 0 Comment

  A guest slot by Harry Spencer Calling an early General Election is, by definition, something usually undertaken by a government confident of winning. And with opinion poll leads well in double figures, and an utterly hapless opposition this is certainly a pretty fair assessment. I don’t necessarily disagree with the idea the Conservatives will win a much-expanded majority, but precedent for snap General Elections is…mixed. Defining snap elections as early elections voluntarily undertaken by a government which already has a…

Read More Read More

No one knows anything. What to do if/when Mrs May wins today’s vote

No one knows anything. What to do if/when Mrs May wins today’s vote

Comments 0 Comment

In 2011, Ruth Ellen Brosseau was a bartender in Ottawa, Canada’s capital.  Some of her regulars were political activists for the New Democratic Party and when the federal election was looming, they twisted her arm to stand as a paper candidate in a no-hoper constituency in a heavily French-speaking area of Quebec.  She didn’t campaign (just as well, since her French wasn’t very good), she didn’t even visit the constituency.  During the election campaign she went on holiday in Vegas….

Read More Read More

GE2017 looks such a certainty that it could end up like GE2001 – boring with a low turnout

GE2017 looks such a certainty that it could end up like GE2001 – boring with a low turnout

Comments 0 Comment

Many of the Labour MPs who will be voting for a general election this afternoon will be doing so in the pretty certain knowledge that they are ending their political careers earlier than planned. Turkeys will indeed be voting for Christmas and I just wonder how many will not participate in this afternoon’s vote. The numbers for the party are just calling and it is very hard seeing how there can be any change over the next seven weeks that….

Read More Read More

Looks like Mike Smithson was right about his theory about the reasons for an early general election

Looks like Mike Smithson was right about his theory about the reasons for an early general election

Comments 0 Comment

BREAKING: The CPS have told Channel 4 News tonight that they are considering charges against more than 30 individuals. #electionexpenses — alex thomson (@alextomo) April 18, 2017 Charges during the election campaign could damage the Tories and Mrs May. Note: 30 individuals might not mean 30 MPs, it might mean 15 MPs and 15 agents TSE

GE2017 – the first polling

GE2017 – the first polling

Comments 0 Comment

First GE2017 poll from ICM – post announcement Con: 46% (+2) Lab: 25% (-1) LD: 11% (+ 1) UKIP: 8% (-3) Green: 4% (n/c) By 49% to 17%, the public thinks that Theresa May is right to seek an early general election https://t.co/Lei8VydF1t pic.twitter.com/z9A2oep41X — YouGov (@YouGov) April 18, 2017

Theresa May breaks her word and calls an early general election for June 8th of this year

Theresa May breaks her word and calls an early general election for June 8th of this year

Comments 0 Comment

Can she satisfy or circumvent The Fixed-term Parliament Act? pic.twitter.com/pkKaBrVPuF — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 18, 2017 https://twitter.com/NinaDSchick/status/854275303753043968 Will Labour agree to an early election? Given the polls I can understand why Mrs May is calling a general election, but there’s a few major issues to sort out Can she satisfy the fixed-term parliament act in the vote tomorrow? Will Mrs May receive any backlash, like Gordon Brown, for going back on her word on holding an early election If she…

Read More Read More