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Farron says Corbyn’s now “cheerleader in chief for the Conservative Brexit government”

10/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 448 Comments

.@timfarron : Jeremy Corbyn has ceased to be Leader of the Opposition to become cheerleader in chief for the Conservative Brexit government” — Lib Dem Media Team (@LibDemPress) January 9, 2017 Corbyn’s LAB re-launch day – how its going so far One of the features of the post-GE215 uprising within Labour that brought Corbyn victory in the leadership elections was the way that anyone who opposed their man was tagged by the Corbynistas as a “Tory”. In Labour circles this…

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Team Corbyn makes a generous New Year gift to Tim Farron given that 68% of current LAB voters think it is wrong to leave

9/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 350 Comments

Corbyn's new year gift to Tim Farron given that 68% of current LAB voters think BREXIT wrong (YouGov)https://t.co/j6UEazIaBp — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 9, 2017 Why Labour has to be ultra-careful on its BREXIT stance. More than 2/3 of its voters think it is wrong to leave. pic.twitter.com/F4XkMrsNxd — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 9, 2017 Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

After 16 months of Corbyn Mark 1 get ready folk for this week’s launch of Corbyn Mark 2

9/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 212 Comments

Save Jezza – trash the media Above is part of a Newnight discussion that I was part of last week which, amongst other things, examined the position of Jeremy Corbyn and whether there was any chance of recovery. I was pretty blunt in the programme though the views expressed were ones which have repeatedly been made before. It was interesting in the programme that the JC-backer in the discussion responded to my points by attacking the media. Labour’s voting intention…

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And now BuzzWord bingo on Trump’s Inaugural speech

9/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 355 Comments

Can you guess the words/phrases he might use? Well done to Shadsy, head of political odds at Ladbrokes, for getting this together – buzzword bingo on what’s almost certainly going to be the most watched and scrutinised political speech of 2017 – the Trump address at his inauguration on January 20th. These require a huge amount of work by the bookie and and awful lot of risk. Trump has made very few set-piece speeches though his very extensive Twitter feed…

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Macron at 6/1 looks the value bet for next French president

8/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 333 Comments

By far the biggest political betting market at the moment is on the French presidential election the first round of which takes place in April. On the Betfair exchange alone £2m has been matched which suggests that this will be a huge market when we get to polling day. All the focus has on the far right contender, Marine Le Pen, who at about 23% is currently the second favourite behind Francois Fillon, the Republican nominee, who is rated on…

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The consequences of what has already happened and the consequences of what is yet to come

8/1/2017 TSE Comments 276 Comments

Embed from Getty Images Britain is Brexiting, Trump is triumphant in the USA, France is flirting with the Front National and in countries as diverse as Sweden, Austria and the Netherlands, the far right is doing more than alright. Yes, yes, but what does it mean? Much energy has been expended analysing why populism and the alt right are doing so well right now. Rather less has been spent on considering the practical implications not just for individual countries…

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Why I’ve backed Diane Abbott to be next Labour leader

8/1/2017 TSE Comments 340 Comments

Embed from Getty Images I can’t quite believe I placed this bet Two of my underlying assumptions about politics in this country are 1) Jeremy Corbyn will be Labour leader at the next general election and 2) Were a Jeremy Corbyn led Labour party to lose a general election (especially if it is a comprehensive defeat) Labour will return to political sanity and appoint someone more centrist and electable, but what if those assumptions are wrong, cui bono? I’ve decided…

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CON starts 2017 by going straight for the Labour’s jugular in Copeland byelection – Corbyn’s opposition to nuclear

7/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 356 Comments

Tory leaflet in Copeland on what looks set to be LAB's weak spot – JC's views on things nuclear Pic via @MrBrownsays pic.twitter.com/oWQiarrzON — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 7, 2017 If it’s a LAB hold then it will be in spite of JC not because of him Even though the sitting MP has yet to resign and no candidates have been selected campaigning has already started in the Copeland by-election – the first such contest in a LAB-CON marginal in…

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