David Davis moves up in sharply in the betting for TMay’s successor. Now a 27% chance

David Davis moves up in sharply in the betting for TMay’s successor. Now a 27% chance

Comments 0 Comment

What we don’t know is whether there’ll be a vacancy or not What a totally crazy political period. The Brexit negotiations have started and Mrs. May’s Tories go into Wednesday’s Queen’s speech without a formal deal being announced on whether the 10 DUP MPs will support the blue team and enable the Tories to get a majority at the end of the debate. In all of this the 2005 CON leadership loser, David Davis, now moves up sharply in the…

Read More Read More

As the BREXIT negotiations start in Brussels LAB take 3% lead in new Survation poll

As the BREXIT negotiations start in Brussels LAB take 3% lead in new Survation poll

Comments 0 Comment

New Survation voting poll for GMB has LAB 3% aheadCON 41%-1LAB 44% +4LD 6% =UKIP 2% -1Changes on Jun 5th — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 19, 2017 Why other pollsters are likely to show same trend when they start VI surveys again Given the precariousness of TMay’s parliamentary position we could be close to another general election yet only Survation has produced any published voting intention polls since June 8th. The firm starts from a strong point having done best…

Read More Read More

Infamy, infamy, they’ve all got it in for May

Infamy, infamy, they’ve all got it in for May

Comments 0 Comment

DAILY TELEGRAPH top story #tomorrowspaperstoday pic.twitter.com/jvxea9XB42 — Helen Miller (@MsHelicat) June 18, 2017 Hammond quietly devastating on the General Election campaign. — Harry Cole (@MrHarryCole) June 18, 2017 Yes, Philip Hammond confirms he is fully qualified as a candidate to succeed May. Can actually answer questions. — John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) June 18, 2017 Pretty clear to me that Hammond fancies his chances as May's successor. Not yet a view shared by his colleagues — Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 18, 2017…

Read More Read More

Picking the nation’s leader. Why the Conservatives are running out of options

Picking the nation’s leader. Why the Conservatives are running out of options

Comments 0 Comment

We’ve been here before. For the second time in less than a year, the Conservatives are on the brink of replacing a leader between elections while in power. Yet right now they are in such a tizz, they aren’t considering some of the critical considerations that such a responsibility entails. If the Conservatives replace Theresa May, they are not just choosing a new leader for themselves but the nation’s Prime Minister. They will find it unusually difficult to justify replacing…

Read More Read More

The first leader out betting. (Also known as how much the world has changed in the last ten days)

The first leader out betting. (Also known as how much the world has changed in the last ten days)

Comments 0 Comment

THE SUNDAY TIMES: "Tories tell May: You have 10 days" #tomorrowspaperstoday pic.twitter.com/8TZEB20YuI — Helena Wilkinson (@BBCHelena) June 17, 2017 Corbyn is set to see off his second Tory Prime Minster in just his first two years as Labour leader. Paddy Power have a market up on who will resign first, Theresa May or Jeremy Corbyn, judging by the reports in today’s papers that 1/12 looks like value, though I’m not backing it, given the other side of the bet is…

Read More Read More

The pressure ratchets up on beleaguered Theresa

The pressure ratchets up on beleaguered Theresa

Comments 0 Comment

Devastating from ex-CON MP Matthew Paris Today’s Times If she can survive this she can survive anything As a general rule the best bet when all the clamour is for someone to quit is to gamble that they’ll stay in post. Never underestimate the resilience of those who’ve climbed to be the top of the greasy poll of politics. They wouldn’t be there if their first thought was to quit when the going gets tough. We saw this last weekend…

Read More Read More

The Tories must leave and give Corbyn his chance

The Tories must leave and give Corbyn his chance

Comments 0 Comment

A tawdry May-DUP deal is not something Con MPs should sign up to According to the plan, this should have been the week when Theresa May stamped her authority on her government, her Party and the country. A reshuffle to mould her ministers in her image; a Queen’s Speech to tackle the issues she cares about, in the way that she wants to tackle them; and five years in which to do that, to deliver Brexit and to tee up…

Read More Read More

Now the speculation is that these could be TMay’s final days as PM

Now the speculation is that these could be TMay’s final days as PM

Comments 0 Comment

This looks very possible, Grenfell Tower could be beginning of the end of Theresa May's premiership https://t.co/y9X6TRt6RE — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 16, 2017 This is a frenzied and volatile period in Britain politics and inevitably questions are being raised about TMay’s future. Next week sees the start of the BREXIT negotiations with the EU and, of course, TMay’s first big parliamentary test – the Queen’s Speech when her government’s legislative programme is announced by the monarch and later voted…

Read More Read More