politicalbetting.com – Page 902 – The web's premier resource for political betting.

What’s wrong with this picture?

17/9/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Under the Conservatives, there are more people in work than ever before. pic.twitter.com/SCWM2LoAuW — Conservatives (@Conservatives) September 13, 2017 High employment and low wage growth Another month goes by and another month of extremely confusing employment data. The good news is astoundingly good: record levels of employment, 40 year lows of unemployment and record numbers of job vacancies per unemployed person. These are statistics that would indicate a booming economy and you would normally expect rapid wage growth. Indeed, economists…

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Infamy, infamy, they’ve all got in for May

16/9/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

The front page of The Sunday Telegraph. Sunday Times says Gove & Boris have mended their relationship. Feels like the end game for Mrs May pic.twitter.com/R8rBnaEcYG — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 16, 2017 This is starting to feel like the end of IDS. He also went shortly after a Tory Party conference. https://t.co/IgFkK1zOhr — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 16, 2017 Infamy, infamy, they've all got in for May. https://t.co/FnekAmpL3d — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 16, 2017 TSE

Boris has blown it again

16/9/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

In the aftermath of the referendum, the job of Prime Minister seemed to be Boris Johnson’s for the taking. As one of the leaders of the Leave campaign with proven star quality and the intellectual backing of Michael Gove, he looked to be clear on goal. But from six yards out he skied it over the bar. Somehow he lost the backing of Michael Gove and he withdrew. The eventual victor, Theresa May, made him Foreign Secretary but it rapidly…

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The DUP deal has cost a lot more than £2bn: it’s blown apart the Tories’ economic case

16/9/2017 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

Austerity is dead – but what can replace it? YouGov published the results of an innovative survey on Thursday, where it found that the British public seemed more willing to pay a Brexit bill of £25bn (where 29% said they would find that acceptable), than one of £10bn (backed by 18%). Good news for Monsieur Barnier? Not exactly. The survey was designed to assess the effect of the options presented on the answers elicited, with the sample split into two…

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It is either bye bye Boris or bye bye Theresa, or bye bye both of them

15/9/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Saturday's Daily TELEGRAPH: "Boris: yes, we WILL take back £350m from EU for NHS" #bbcpapers #tomorrowspaperstoday pic.twitter.com/YVZyhBQJxO — Allie Hodgkins-Brown (@AllieHBNews) September 15, 2017 https://twitter.com/timothy_stanley/status/908791853151145985 Is Boris going to put this on the side of his leadership campaign bus? pic.twitter.com/LhaRRRhWtd — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 15, 2017 Boris Johnson told No10 he wouldn't comment before Theresa's speech. Now he's defying her with his own red lines https://t.co/WYJOEYv0ZU — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) September 15, 2017 Yes! Here we go, here we…

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Local By-Election Review : September 14th 2017

15/9/2017 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Westexe on Mid Devon (United Kingdom Independence Party defence) Result: Conservative 279 (36% +6% on last time), Independent 179 (23% +4% on last time), Labour 164 (21% +9% on last time), Liberal Democrat 144 (19%, no candidate last time) No UKIP candidate this time (-28%), No Green candidate this time (-12%) Conservative GAIN from UKIP with a majority of 100 (13%) on a notional swing of 1% from Independent to Conservative (actual swing: 17% from UKIP to Con) Lyme…

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Betting on the number of tweets by Donald Trump next week

15/9/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Paddy Power have a market up on how many times Donald Trump will tweet from his @RealDonaldTrump account between the 18th and 24th of September. The website twittercounter has analysed Trump’s twitter account, and over the last 30 days he’s averaging six tweets per day, so over a week, we should expect something around 42 tweets per week, so by my reckoning the 11/1 on 31-40 tweets represents value. However I’m not comfortable on staking much on someone as volatile as…

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Previewing tonight’s 3 by elections

14/9/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Three council by-elections tonight. One Conservative defence, one Labour, one UKIP. See @andrewteale's previews: https://t.co/rLuNwWrtqk — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) September 14, 2017 TSE