Both the timetable and the politics make it all but impossible It’s the Remainer dream that won’t go away. Indeed, it’s as if they’ve never woken up to the strong coffee the electorate served on the fateful night in June 2016. They want to believe that the fight is still on and continue to make the case that they should have made better before EURef1. It isn’t still on and the dream is just that: an hallucination in the dark….
The lead by Brexit Wrong over Brexit Right is highest ever The details of the latest YouGov Brexit tracker is out and the striking feature is the high number of Conservative voters who are now saying that the referendum decision was wrong. Last month 22% of CON voters took this view while in this latest poll with the fieldwork this week the figure rose to 28%. As can be see as well 8% of Leave voters now believe that the…
Falmouth, Smithick on Cornwall (Lab defence) Result: Lab 643 (60% +20% on last time), Con 184 (17% -7% on last time), Lib Dem 184 (17% -2% on last time), Green 57 (5% -11% on last time) Labour HOLD with a majority of 459 (43%) on a swing of 13.5% from Con to Lab Pallion on Sunderland (Lab defence) Result: Lib Dem 1,251 (54% +50% on last time), Lab 807 (35% -16% on last time), Con 126 (5% -8% on last…
On this week’s podcast, Keiran and Leo analyse the latest round of British Election Study data and ask ‘was there really a ‘youthquake’ at the 2017 General Election and does it matter? Keiran and Leo also look at the role that gender played in the 2017 vote and uncover some striking data that suggests we might be getting public opinon on Brexit all wrong. Find all this and more on this week’s show. Follow this week’s podcasters: Follow @KeiranPedley Follow…
The latest seat prediction from Electoral Calculus another reminder to LAB that the system now works in favour of the Tories. CON average vote share 0.5% behind but with clear lead on seatshttps://t.co/VmVdusO6wz pic.twitter.com/QsV9I7FkL0 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2018 This is, of course, on the current old boundaries I have made this point before but the latest projection from Martin Baxter’s Electoral Calculus is an excellent example of how under current boundaries the system works in favour of…
The Sun’s Trevor Newton Dunn reporting a potential dramatic development that would be a nail in the coffin for the beleaguered TMayhttps://t.co/QJKMDDS3Ox pic.twitter.com/6th5JbAIOe — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2018 The frequency of the paper’s reports should worry TMay’s backers Last week it will be recalled it was the Sun’s Harry Cole who in two exclusive reports highlighted that the number of CON MPs signing letters to 1992 Chief Graham Brady was on the increase and was perhaps almost there….
A new arrival on Twitter – the first follower Ladbrokes Politics Building a brighter future with @trussliz #InLizWeTruss pic.twitter.com/8W2iBkP2Fw — Liz Truss (@TrussForLeader) January 31, 2018 Only @trussliz can take on @jeremycorbyn and win! #WeBackTruss https://t.co/r9a6HjkCE9 — Liz Truss (@TrussForLeader) January 30, 2018 #WeBackTruss pic.twitter.com/qWzhHkt1XU — Liz Truss (@TrussForLeader) January 30, 2018
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UhEPyjolGQQ A provoking suggestion from Cyclefree I can hear the spluttering already. How could such a comparison be made? How dare someone even make it! After all, Corbyn represents pretty much everything Thatcher fought against. And for Corbyn Thatcher epitomised the hard-hearted neoliberal capitalist ideology he has consistently opposed his entire political life. But consider the following: – • Both were in the right place at the right time, whether through luck (in Corbyn’s case, it being his turn to…