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So, this errr… Target2 thing. What is it, and why is it spiking, and should I care?

28/6/2018 robert Comments 0 Comment

https://youtu.be/yLTg1aatqHs With the election of the Lega Nord and Five Star Movement in Italy, Target2 imbalances are growing again. The gap between the creditor nations (mostly Germany and the Netherlands) and the debtors (the PIIGS, less Ireland) is now back at levels last seen at the height of the Eurozone crisis. But wait. What are Target2 balances? Are they the result of Germany’s enormous current account surplus, or is there something else at work? More importantly, should you care about…

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NEW PB/Polling Matters: Pollsters. hedge funds, Heathrow and why is Blair so noisy and Cameron so quiet?

28/6/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at a recent Bloomberg story investigating links between hedge funds and pollsters on the day of the EU referendum, public opinion on Heathrow and the environment and ask what Blair hopes to achieve with his latest intervention (and why David Cameron seems to be so quiet). Follow this week’s guests Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @LeoBarasi Tweet

Gove now level-pegging with Corbyn in the next PM betting

27/6/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Joe Biden raises doubts about whether he’ll run for White House in 2020

27/6/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

2nd favourite for Democratic nomination Joe Biden Says He Feels 'Guilty' About Not Wanting to Run for President Because of ‘Charlatan’ Trump https://t.co/U8V0hYXlDn — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 27, 2018 Obama’s Vice President for 8 years, Joe Biden, has been talking about the next White House Race and says he “feels guilty” about not wanting to run. Ahead of the 2016 election there was considerable speculation over whether he would run against Hillary Clinton for the nomination. This went on…

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Suddenly Tory cabinet indiscipline moves to the top of the political agenda

27/6/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Is Tory discipline on the verge of breaking down? https://t.co/ELqftPoehk — BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) June 26, 2018 Maybe it was BoJo that started it but very quickly we are seeing leading cabinet figures seeking to set the agenda away from the principle of cabinet collective responsibility. This could be very dangerous for TMay who clearly does not feel she has the strength to sack the rebels. With DefSec, Gavin Williamson, demanding zillions extra for defence the Chief Secretary to the…

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The 2018 London Local Elections : The religious factors analysed

26/6/2018 Editor Comments 0 Comment

On Thursday Willesden Green (a place well known to fans of DangerMouse) returned three Labour councillors in the election that was deferred from the local elections, but in doing so completed those local elections and allowed us to make the following analysis. Normally I do so with a commentary of my own, but given the subject matter I shall let the figures do the talking and allow other members to form their own opinions. Harry Hayfield

A little local difficulty. A forgotten part of English democracy

26/6/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

I’m a dutiful son and I visit my parents regularly. They live in Hadleigh, a quiet market town in south Suffolk. Hadleigh has never quite made it onto the tourist trail. This is a little odd because Kersey, a couple of miles away, is a staple of Christmas cards and meerkat adverts and Lavenham, a few miles further away, is besieged with visitors. Hadleigh has a magnificent guildhall and deanery tower and charming medieval buildings in abundance, many of which…

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TMay deserves to be congratulated for at least making a decision on LHR

26/6/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The PM’s winning streak continues By a walloping Commons majority last night, 415 votes to 119, the ongoing procrastination over the expansion of Heathrow has been resolved and at last the indecision over the airport’s future is over. That it should have taken so long for it to get to this stage says a lot about big infrastructure decision making in the UK – remember how the Channel Tunnel was opened in December 1993 but it took fifteen years before…

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