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Trump’s WH2016 victory could be the last time the national popular vote loser becomes President

4/3/2019 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Map 2702win.com State moves are afoot to by-pass the electoral college We all know that in November 2016 Donald Trump won the White House Race even though in terms of the national popular vote he had 3.1% fewer votes overall than Hillary Clinton. This was not the first time this has happened. The actual decision on who should be President is determined by members of the electoral College which features in the map above. The numbers in each box are…

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Why Labour should win Newport West by-election

4/3/2019 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

Government gains are exceptionally rare, even with poll leads Byelectionitis is not a condition that usually afflicts the Conservative Party and, to be fair, nor is it doing so now. The demands of government and particularly Brexit are inevitably occupying the attention of the Party and its members, both activist and elected. All the same, the flurry of positive polls for the Tories since the TIG split suggesting a Con lead of around 7-8% over Labour begs the question of…

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A second referendum conducted under AV maybe the only way to end the Brexit impasse

3/3/2019 TSE Comments 0 Comment

If Parliament is unable to come to a resolution on Brexit then perhaps they might send it back to the people. Recents events makes me think we’re headed for another referendum on all things Brexit, so the only question and options is what will be on the ballot paper. Why I think a Remain option will end up on the ballot paper is twofold. Firstly Parliament has to legislate for another referendum and given the the make up of Parliament…

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Why there has to be trust in a complaints procedure for it to be effective

3/3/2019 CycleFree Comments 0 Comment

It was barely 5 months ago that Dame Laura Cox issued her withering report on an entrenched culture within Parliament “cascading from the top down, of deference, subservience, acquiescence and silence, in which bullying and sexual harassment have been able to thrive and have long been tolerated and concealed.” Strong stuff. But despite token words of condemnation and promises to learn the lessons and implement the necessary changes, the report – let alone the promised actions – seem to have sunk…

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At GE2017 CON voters were SIX TIMES more likely to say Brexit was the key factor in deciding votes than LAB ones

2/3/2019 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Lord Ashcroft polls Why Brexit is much less of an issue for the red team On General Election day in June 2017 the Conservative peer, Lord Ashcroft, carried out a large sample poll to try to find out why voters had decided in the way they had. A key question was asking what was the main factor in determining the votes and the outcomes for each main group of parties are featured in the chart above. As can be seen…

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If LAB is serious about a second referendum it must seek a 6+ month A50 extension

2/3/2019 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

Will it table the necessary amendment or is it all just words? Enthusiastic it was not. The Labour leadership finally adopting the policy set out at Conference of seeking a second referendum, now that a general election is not a viable means of stopping Brexit, came with all the keenness of toddler being encouraged to eat spinach. Even now, Corbyn is happy to mix notional support for a referendum with ‘other solutions’ being on the table. This matters because in…

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Local By-Election Summary : February 2019

1/3/2019 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Labour 7,858 votes (30% -4% on last time) winning 3 seats (-2 seats on last time) Liberal Democrats 6,854 votes (26% +10% on last time) winning 2 seats (+1 seat on last time) Conservatives 6,267 votes (24% -1% on last time) winning 3 seats (unchanged on last time) Plaid Cymru 831 votes (3% +1% on last time) winning 1 seat (+1 seat on last time) Green Party 691 votes (3% -1% on last time) winning 0 seats (unchanged on last…

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If there are UK Euro elections in May Farage’s new Brexit party could easily beat UKIP

1/3/2019 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The elections that may or may not happen While all sorts of attention has been given to the splits within the Conservative and Labour parties there has been very little coverage of the fact that UKIP, which won the 2014 UK euro elections, has been totally divided over the past 5 years. Barely a 3rd of 24 UKIP MEPs elected in May 2014 are still within the fold. One of the defectors, Nigel Farage, was leader in 2014 and has…

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