A glimpse into the next four years (maybe) Jess Philips had been to Number Ten before but not like this. Not in front of the microphones. Not at the centre of attention. Not as Prime Minister. Yet Prime Minister she was, newly returned from the Palace where the king had asked her to form a government and she’d said yes. Of course she had: for the first time in over a decade, Britain had a clear majority government. For the…
Final table for a few hours. 132 councils with their 2016 remain %. Sorted by the increase in turnout yesterday compared to last euros. pic.twitter.com/kXxO1jhawa — Patrick Heneghan (@PJHeneghan) May 24, 2019 This is a very useful piece of work and will be invaluable on Sunday night when the results come in. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange But will he suffer the Tory front-runner curse? This morning’s announcement by Mrs May that she is Stepping down did not come as a surprise and indeed there has been a lot of activity over her replacement over the past few weeks. On Betfair, the betting exchange where it is punters exchanging bets between themselves not the bookmakers who fix the odds, the former Foreign Secretary and Mayor of London is now…
The results have been verified. 28,438 votes were counted with a turnout of 30.5% in Ashfield pic.twitter.com/BEKjlq1ojZ — Ashfield Council (@ADCAshfield) May 24, 2019 Although there has been no exit or other polling there has been a mass of data from the local authority areas that began verifying the ballots overnight. The big picture so far is in the headline – there’s a correlation between the percentage of those who voted yesterday and what the area did at the referendum….
Those used to general elections in the UK and the drama of the exit poll coming out they might get a bit deflated to have reached 10 this evening to find the polls have closed and nothing is happening. We will have to wait until 10 p.m. on Sunday evening for the first results to come out. This is because of the strict rules about EU elections that no information on voting can be revealed until such time as as…
On this week podcast, Keiran Pedley and Matt Singh discuss the EU election polls and what happens next week. Listen to the podcast below: Follow this week’s guests: Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @MattSingh_ Tweet
New @IpsosMORI Euros poll completed last night sees LAB trailing LDsBREX: 35%LD: 20%LAB: 15%GRN: 10%CON: 9%CHUK: 3%UKIP: 3% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 23, 2019 This is much closer to YouGov than other polls The pollster, Ipsos-MORI, has a long history of trying to be the publisher of the last poll before an election. It does this by finishing its fieldwork on the Wednesday evening and generally it is published in the London Evening Standard on the Thursday. With this…