LAB the biggest losers so far We must remember that the majority councils are not starting their counts until the morning. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
My quickie Twitter survey Earlier this evening I tweeted to ask is people had any sense of what turnout has been like in the locals. My feeling from telling in Bedford is that it is down by quite a bit. These are some of the replies:- Seems low here in Bath. — Hal Westergaard (@hal_westergaard) May 2, 2019 very low here in Three Rivers — norman marsh (@viewfrommyshed) May 2, 2019 Steady in Fulwood, Sheffield at 1500. Suspect a better…
Instead Blair got 413 MPs and the Tories 166 This is starting to feel a bit tiresome those people taking European election voting intention polls and seeking them to apply to a general election. Sure the Tory shares down to 13% are terrible but history suggests that this is not a guide to any General Election outcome. Go back and look at the 2001. Two years earlier William Hague had secured most seats in the EU parliament for his Tories…
She comes over as decisive firm and tough The conventional wisdom is that you don’t want negative stories about your party to be making the headlines on the day of any elections. Everything is about turnout, particularly with the locals, and all efforts should be made to ensure that your base and your activists are out there enthusiastically going to the polls and getting out the vote. So I just wonder whether the very public sacking Gavin Williamson yesterday evening…
https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1123685667236732928 Whoever he stands for Galloway will be a formidable opponent This could be tricky for Farage because Galloway is no slouch when it comes to by-elections and has a far better record here than the Brexit Party leader. In 2012 in Bradford West he was 33/1 in the betting when he put himself forward in the rock solid safe Labour seat. Even on the day you could have got him at 4/1. As it turned out Galloway took the…
pic.twitter.com/01y6kqxyOT — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) May 1, 2019 And the betting opens on the replacement Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange I remain to be convinced by Biden With interest in Brexit itself having subsided for the moment and with the Euro elections not taking place for another three weeks the top betting markets, in terms of volume, at the moment are on the 2020 White House Race. The big question is who will the Democrats choose to take on Trump? Last week the former Obama vice president, Joe Biden, put his hat…