politicalbetting.com

People do not like being lied to and being manipulated, the financial markets particularly so, the stories that have broken about Rachel Reeves have the potential to be destabilising. When you’re borrowing over £100 billion a year you cannot annoy the markets like this. Labour will have three more budgets to deliver before the next election, I expect the run up to the next one in particular will be particularly rough after these events. I think Rachel Reeves survives this…

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I think we can infer the vast majority of Brits rightly do not consider Die Hard, a film released in JULY 1988, is a Christmas film, no wonder it is at Starmer levels of approval. TSE

I’d like to see the number of times Labour lead in a GB wide Westminster poll conducted by a BPC registered pollster. TSE

Speaking to somebody who spent several years working at 1 Horse Guards Road and they also advocate abolishing the budget because it is the enemy of good governance and decision making. Their analogy was when new cars registrations used to taek place in August, it utterly distorted things and ensured far too much happened in a few weeks rather than evenly spread throughout the year. I am becoming persuaded by this argument. TSE

A bit like increasing taxes voters are in favour abolishing trial by jury but not for themselves. For the first polling question I expect support for proposals will fall as the opposition grows to this fundamental part of our legal system is upended. TSE

Whilst this was a feisty performance from Kemi Badenoch I do not anticipate Rachel Reeves departing this yeas. TSE

TSE

One of the main reasons I didn’t become a politician is my utter contempt for the public and when I see polling like this it reaffirms my decision. This polling is part of some wider polling by YouGov as we approach tomorrow’s budget, I feel sorry for the politicians that have to appease the public when they are in this mood. Increasing taxes on the rich despite it reducing the tax raised is a it like peeing your pants, it…

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