Perhaps we ought to remind ourselves that Farage’s parties are rubbish in first past the post elections

Perhaps we ought to remind ourselves that Farage’s parties are rubbish in first past the post elections

Comments 0 Comment

Our first slate of 50 Prospective Parliamentary Candidates to fight a Brexit general election. 100 more will follow next week, watch this space. pic.twitter.com/xGG7qk84Zp — Nigel Farage (@Nigel_Farage) August 3, 2019 Following the Brexit party’ flop in the Brecon and Radnorshire by elections the leader for life, Nigel Farage, has this afternoon published the above tweet with the faces of self first group of candidates to be selected by his party for a possible coming general election. In all his…

Read More Read More

Is Corbyn at risk from the mother of all political decapitations?

Is Corbyn at risk from the mother of all political decapitations?

Comments 0 Comment

Could his mighty Islington fortress be built a little bit on sand? We’ve heard a lot about how Boris Johnson is at risk of losing his Westminster seat come the next election. His 5,034 majority over Labour in Uxbridge & South Ruislip is not at all commanding – Labour need just a 5.4% swing to take the seat – and what with Johnson leading the charge towards a No Deal Brexit, with the economic and other disruption that would cause,…

Read More Read More

Despite the dire polling, Jeremy Corbyn is not going anywhere

Despite the dire polling, Jeremy Corbyn is not going anywhere

Comments 0 Comment

Barring accident or illness the Labour leader is certain to lead the party into the next election and is very likely to stay whatever the result may be If Labour was deadly serious about defeating the Tories at the next general election, Jeremy Corbyn would no longer be the party’s leader. The polling since Boris Johnson took over as Prime Minister and installed the most right-wing government the UK has ever seen tells exactly the same story that it told…

Read More Read More

The main lesson from the Brecon result: Demonstrating the effectiveness of Remain parties working together

The main lesson from the Brecon result: Demonstrating the effectiveness of Remain parties working together

Comments 0 Comment

A model for the next General Election? Reflecting on the Brecon outcome the most striking feature which hasn’t really been commented on is that in a seat in Wales that PC felt able to step aside in order  to help defeat the pro-Brexit Tories. Given the relative closeness of the outcome it’s clear that this decision and that of the Green Party played a crucial part in this election and no doubt lessons will be learnt . We have a…

Read More Read More

It should be between 2am and 4am that we get the Brecon result

It should be between 2am and 4am that we get the Brecon result

Comments 0 Comment

For reference the result from GE2017 How other new PMs fared Tonight could be very interesting for political historians. This is the numbers of days in office before each Prime Minister lost a seat in a by-election.#BreconandRadnorshire pic.twitter.com/0teZ4tngfo — Kevin Lang (@kevin_lang) August 1, 2019 The Brexit Party plane pulling a flying banner over the Brecon and Radnorshire constituency where polls close in the by-election at 10pm pic.twitter.com/zX7x6IOppj — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 1, 2019

BJohnson’s first Ipsos-MORI leader satisfaction ratings in NEGATIVE territory

BJohnson’s first Ipsos-MORI leader satisfaction ratings in NEGATIVE territory

Comments 0 Comment

The historical comparisons don’t look good As well as the Ipsos voting numbers we have the firm’s satisfaction ratings which it has been asking in the same form since the 1970s. This means that there are records going  back decades and we can easily make comparisons. From the helpful chart above BJohnson becomes the first PM to take over mid-parliament with a negative rating – that is fewer people were satisfied with him than were dissatisfied.  This might not be…

Read More Read More