The spread markets the Tories down a touch but still heading for a majority

The spread markets the Tories down a touch but still heading for a majority

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SportingIndex The Greens up following the United for Remain moves Until we get the final outcome I’m planning to do regular posts on the Commons Seats spread-betting market from SportingIndex. This will act as a useful reference to how things have changed and how punters are seeing things. What I like about these markets is this gets right down to the general election outcome in terms of seats. This is a form of betting for those ready to risk what…

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The Unite to Remain Alliance: The seats where one of the Greens/the LDs or PC will be given a clear run

The Unite to Remain Alliance: The seats where one of the Greens/the LDs or PC will be given a clear run

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The LDS and Greens are standing aside for Plaid Cymru in the following Welsh seats: Arfon (Held) Dwyfor Meirionnydd (Held) Carmarthen East and Dinefwr (Held) Ynys Mon Pontypridd Caerphilly Llanelli The LDs are standing aside for the Green in these English seats Brighton Pavilion (Held) Isle of Wight Bury St Edmunds Bristol West Stroud Dulwich & West Norwood Cannock Chase Exeter Forest of Dean PC and the Green party are standing aside for the LDs  in the following Welsh seats:…

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Ten Lib Dem seats to watch

Ten Lib Dem seats to watch

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The Lib Dems do not lack for stated public ambition. Jo Swinson is positioning herself as a potential Prime Minister after the election, which shows some optimism considering that the Lib Dems started the last Parliament with just 12 MPs and ended it with just 20, many of whom look by no means certainties to return to Parliament next time.   Still, fair lady never won with faint heart. Here are ten seats which will give a fair indication of just…

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A future history of Labour’s election in ten seats

A future history of Labour’s election in ten seats

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Labour will overtake the SNP within 12 months if @LabourRichard wins. Remember this tweet. https://t.co/pnrPdAoAwB — Aaron Bastani (@AaronBastani) October 7, 2017 You have to admire Jeremy Corbyn’s grit. Facing personal polling figures that find him to be less popular than herpes, he has nevertheless sought out the fight and is looking to repeat the confounding of expectations that he achieved in 2017.   If anything, the prospects are still more daunting this time round. Labour’s polling has been at a…

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The first morning of the official campaign period in three Tweets

The first morning of the official campaign period in three Tweets

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Not the finest hour for these two senior Tories. I'm sure their opponents on December 12th will have noticed. https://t.co/m56aDCAJPk — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 6, 2019 Our second edition ?@EveningStandard? as Cabinet Minister resigns over rape trial scandal on first day of official Tory campaign pic.twitter.com/NLWNX0HbtM — George Osborne (@George_Osborne) November 6, 2019 More terrible leader ratings for Corbyn from Ipsos-MORI. A huge 75% of voters dissatisfied with him and just 15% satisfied. Johnson up sharply from last month…

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A key GE19 battleground: The GE2017 Tories who voted Remain

A key GE19 battleground: The GE2017 Tories who voted Remain

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How many are ready to back Swinson’s party? One sizeable group of the electorate who could make a difference on December 12th are those who have voted Conservative in the past who at the referendum went for remain. It’s estimated that this segment accounted for more than a quarter of the Conservative vote at the last general election. The question now is whether they will want to continue supporting the party under the management of Boris Johnson which is devoid…

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Constituency betting round-up

Constituency betting round-up

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Sitting MP Anne Milton now to stand as an Independent in Guildford. pic.twitter.com/2ubZ7vAqNo — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) November 5, 2019 Independent candidate @ClaireWrightInd is only 6/4 to win East Devon. pic.twitter.com/KHvcxDRMDo — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) November 5, 2019 Flip-flop in Fife as Lib Dems take over as favourites to win ultra-marginal seat. pic.twitter.com/w4593JNo48 — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) November 5, 2019 The Liberal Democrats are 6/1 to unseat Jacob Rees-Mogg in North East Somerset. pic.twitter.com/tWuxIeskau — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) November 5,…

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If the latest YouGov is on the right lines the Tories are set to make gains from LAB in London

If the latest YouGov is on the right lines the Tories are set to make gains from LAB in London

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Westminster voting changes from today's YouGov London poll suggest the Tories could make gains from LAB in the capital Changes since GE2017: Lab -16%CON -4%LD +10%BRX +6%GRN +2% Swing 6% from Lab to Con — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 5, 2019 And terrible ratings for the LAB leader in his home city London has for so long been such a stronghold for Labour that it can be hard to come to terms with the fact that on December 12th it…

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