How an 86-year old could be the next US president This has not been a good week for Donald Trump. Rant all he might at the impeachment hearings, they’re turning up deeply damaging testimony that would in any normal circumstance be career-ending. Trump is not, as he’s proven many times, politically normal but even he must have a limit as to how far he can push things. That he will now be impeached is all-but inevitable. Having gone this far…
Boris might well be on for a 100+ majority Even the balloons looked forlorn and listless; remnants of a celebration party no-one really expected to need and now mockingly reminding the few left of those misplaced hopes, as they swayed aimlessly in unseen aerial eddies. The signs had been there for weeks of course – months, even – but for one reason or another, they’d continuously been ignored. The local government by-elections, the Westminster by-elections, the leader ratings, the constituency…
This was all about reassuring your own party’s supporters I would guess that the vast majority of those who watched the QuestionTime Special had made up their minds about the election before the evening started. But it was an important programme and will almost certainly be the toughest questioning that any of the four will face before December 12th. My view is that this format is better than a debate and for those complaining about a biased audience then who…
The running order is: 7pm Corbyn 7.30pm Sturgeon 8pm Swinson 8.30pm Johnson It was at a similar event ahead of GE2017 when I thought TMay lost her majority. It was her “There’s no magic money tree” response to the nurse who had not had a pay rise for several years. I think tonight is going to be challenging for all four of them. My guess is that the second hour will get the biggest audience. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
But this is more about Warren-Buttiegieg switching than a Biden Renaissance The betdata.io chart tells the story of the fight for the Democratic nomination over the past few months and tracks the rise and fall of Elizabeth Warren. At one stage the Senator from Massachusetts was rated at more than a 50% chance on Betfair. Her decline was triggered by a forensic attack on her by Mayor Pete in the October TV debate when he pressed on the funding for…
A1 guest slot by The Green Machine It’s been all three years (since January 2017) that the Northern Ireland government has been in their work place, why? Well, first of all things haven’t been the same since the days of the Irish Chuckle Brothers (Martin McGuinness & Ian Paisley). It’s hard to believe that these two bitter rivals for around 30 years were very close friends in the end. They done more together than the public think. In 2014, Ian…
And GE2019 has the historically highest “important to me” rating Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
NEW: We conducted a telephone method constituency poll on behalf of @TheEconomist in Great Grimsby. Results have now been published and so under @BritPollingCncl rules we are releasing the results and tables. Get the data:https://t.co/MGMPa2op5U pic.twitter.com/zfbawhHIZL — Survation. (@Survation) November 21, 2019 Like all seat polls this has a very small sample (401) but the overall figures look promising for the Tories in one of its key northern targets and bad for LAB. Looking at the detailed data LAB is…