Amy Klobuchar edging up in New Hampshire ahead of tomorrow’s primary

Amy Klobuchar edging up in New Hampshire ahead of tomorrow’s primary

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Now third in two latest polls on tomorrow’s primary So far in the race for the Democratic nomination the field has tended to split into two groups: the super young people represented by 38 year old Pete Buttigieg and the very old with Michael Bloomberg, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders who are all heading for their 80s. One person who has not really had a breakout moment is the Senator from Minnesota Amy klobuchar who is 59 who really needs…

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The world is becoming even more partisan

The world is becoming even more partisan

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Every so often we see some polling that much like the polling of Tory Party members last summer that saw a majority of Tory members will to countenance the destruction of the United Kingdom as well as significant damage to the economy to ensure their Brexit is delivered makes you go wow. This polling from America which sees 62% of New Hampshire Democratic Party primary voters would prefer a meteor strike to wipe out all human life over Trump winning…

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Ethics man. God, mammon and investing

Ethics man. God, mammon and investing

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Those snowflakes are at it again.  Students of St John’s college, Oxford, have called upon their college to disinvest from companies that extract fossil fuels and thus contribute to global warming.  In response, the principal bursar has told them that could not be done at a drop of a hat, but he’d gladly turn off the gas in their halls of residence if that would make them feel better.  It seems that it would not. Contrary to the implication of…

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The New Hampshire polling looks almost solid for Bernie – but then so did Iowa

The New Hampshire polling looks almost solid for Bernie – but then so did Iowa

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Given the delays in getting a firm result from Iowa I wonder whether our first clear cut outcome could happen on Tuesday night in New Hampshire. For even when the Iowa party gets all the outstanding data in on Monday then it is far from clear that this will be the end of the matter. All this is because with caucuses it is the party machines that handles the election and the counting unlike where you have full primaries like…

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Public standards mean nothing if the public won’t own them

Public standards mean nothing if the public won’t own them

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Trump’s failed impeachment is a reflection of the nation’s civil standards Why is Mike Pence not now the President of the United States? The immediate answer is, of course, that there weren’t 67 members of the Senate willing to vote to convict him of the charges brought by the House. But to get to the deeper answers we have to ask: why not? It was not for lack of evidence – though of course the Republican senators went out of…

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Whoever ends up winning Iowa the WH2020 Dem nomination battle is now framed as between Bernie and Buttigieg

Whoever ends up winning Iowa the WH2020 Dem nomination battle is now framed as between Bernie and Buttigieg

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The big question mark is over Bloomberg Although the Iowa result has not yet been finalised and it might be a few days before we know, there’s little doubt that what happened on Monday will have a major impact on the race from here. We are already seeing this in polls for the New Hampshire Primary which takes place next Tuesday. It is a big ask to expect Pete to achieve victory in New Hampshire but some polls have him…

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A former Tory councillor becomes the first to declare for Jo Swinson’s old job as LD leader

A former Tory councillor becomes the first to declare for Jo Swinson’s old job as LD leader

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She wants her party to be closer to LAB Unlike Labour the Lib Dems decided to postpone the election to replace Jo Swinson until after the May local elections and in the meantime Ed Davey and the Party president, the blogger Mark Pack, are acting as joint leaders. The political logic is clear: the party traditionally does well in local elections and doesn’t want to be distracted by a leadership election. Given that the starting gun won’t be fired until…

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“Continuity Corbyn” contender Long-Bailey gets the worst ratings in new LAB leadership poll

“Continuity Corbyn” contender Long-Bailey gets the worst ratings in new LAB leadership poll

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Good numbers for Starmer While all the focus has been on Iowa the LAB leadership contest is trudging on with the postal ballot of the the selectorate not due until next month. This poll, NOT of selectorate members but the regular phone poll from Ipsos-MORI of GB adults, adds further to Starmer’s position and no doubt his team will be more than ready to make this available when the postal election starts. Labour has lost four general elections on the…

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