Iowa could still go either way with 97% of precincts counted
I’ve cashed out on Betfair so I’m sure of a profit Mike Smithson
Irish General Election 2020 : Predictions & Review (Final Part)
This is it. We’re at the point of no return, there’s no going back now. We’re had numerous articles, interviews, political shows, polls and retirements. The only stage left now is the official results! Which candidates are in the driving seat and which are feeling the pressure?, find out below. As per usual, I will covering the final few constituencies in alphabetical order. Mayo (Four Seats)Currently, the constituency of Mayo is represented by two TD’s from Fine Gael and two…
Amidst more confusion the Iowa numbers dribble out & Buttigieg moves to a 97% chance on Betfair
This looks like a Pete victory on both delegates and votes
With Biden now looking doomed Buttigieg looks a value bet to win New Hampshire
It’s third time unlucky for the ex-VP in Iowa Biden’s career in politics has been defined by his runs for the presidency which have seen him flop at the first fence in Iowa. In 1988 his bid came to an end in the state following him being ridiculed for plagiarising a Neil Kinnock election PPB in order to make a speech about himself. Two decades later in 2008 he pulled out of the race after failing to get a delegate…
The Starmer juggernaut storms on and he’s now a 78% chance on Betfair
So far, 264 CLPs have nominated candidates to be leader of the Labour Party. Keir Starmer: 154 Rebecca Long-Bailey: 70 Lisa Nandy: 28 Emily Thornberry: 12 pic.twitter.com/DPfceU7RXd — CLP Nominations (@CLPNominations) February 4, 2020 Unless LAB members vote in a very different way in the postal ballot compared with what is happening at the constituency party level or else Keir Starmer makes some massive cock-up between now and April 2nd then he is an absolute certainty to succeed Corbyn. One…
First results from Iowa have Buttgieg in the lead
This appears to be based on the proportion of delegates that were elected. These are provisional and there are others results still to come. The totals are bad on 62% with 38% still to come. The surprise is how poorly Biden has done given he was leading in getting on for half of the final week polls. Mike Smithson
We may not have the Iowa results yet but punters think Biden was the big loser
From a 38% chance to 19% in just two weeks Hopefully we should get the Iowa results at some stage during the day. One thing that punters seem to agree on is that ex-VP and former favourite for the nomination, Jo Biden, had a poor night. Even though some pre-caucus Iowa polls had him as favourite he’s not being given an earthly at the moment. This inevitably has led to him being marked down in the overall nomination betting. Judging…
The first state to decide voted but because of a technical cock-up we don’t know who won
Pete Buttigieg is second in the betting For those expecting to wake up to discover who has won the Iowa caucuses then I’m sorry. I stayed up all night and went to bed at 5 a.m. without knowing what had happened. There seems to have been a mess up with communications between the organisers of the 1600+ precinct caucus meetings and the state party HQ. An app that that was supposed to provide fast and accurate results simply failed. So…