My money’s on Layla Moran for Jo Swinson’s old job

My money’s on Layla Moran for Jo Swinson’s old job

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s Former odds-on favourite Davey now trailing on Betfair Ever since the former Lib Dem leader, Jo Swinson, unexpectedly lost her seat to the SNP in the general election the former coalition cabinet minister Ed Davey has been the odds on favourite to succeed her. The election itself will take place after the local elections in May and we should know who the new person will be in early July. All this follows the awful general election for the party…

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Trump’s handling of the spread of coronavirus is costing him dear and making the situation in the US far worse

Trump’s handling of the spread of coronavirus is costing him dear and making the situation in the US far worse

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New Quinnipiac poll: By 56-40, Biden is seen as better than Trump in a crisis. Among independents, that's 59-33 (!) Among women, that's 63-32 (!!!) The poll is simply awful for Trump. Turns out he doesn't have magical chaos-spreading powers, after all:https://t.co/gM5vA5UTJq — Greg Sargent (@GregTSargent) March 9, 2020 This is from a powerful piece by Brian Klaas in the Washington Post The rapidly worsening coronavirus outbreak is President Trump’s Chernobyl. By putting dangerous myths above objective facts, Trump has turned…

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Sanders trailing by 22% in Michigan – a state where he beat Hillary at WH2016

Sanders trailing by 22% in Michigan – a state where he beat Hillary at WH2016

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Ahead of tomorrow’s Michigan primary two new polls have Bernie struggling to repeat his WH2016 performance where he just edged it over Hillary. A  Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA poll finds Biden leading Sanders in the primary by 24-points, 51% to 27%. An earlier CNN poll also has Biden with a 20%+ lead Back in 2016 Bernie’s victory by a small margin over Hillary in the state was in retrospect a huge indication that things weren’t going well for the Clinton campaign Michigan…

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Northern Italy is getting a bit too close for comfort

Northern Italy is getting a bit too close for comfort

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A sign of things to come in the UK? Although we now have had three confirmed deaths in the UK the overall scale here is much less than in several other countries that are almost on our doorsteps which is why most of the papers are leading on what’s going on in Northern Italy. Could this be an indication of what things will be like here just a few months on? Northern Italy, after all, is a part of the…

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The betting markets still think Trump will get re-elected but the gap is closing

The betting markets still think Trump will get re-elected but the gap is closing

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How dangerous is the corona virus to Trump? The big development in what is by far the biggest betting market of all, who’ll win WH2020 has not been the emergence of Biden as the clear Dem contender but the growing doubts about how the White House is handling it. His recent boasts have not helped perceptions. This from the Washington Post. “I like this stuff. I really get it,” Trump boasted to reporters during a tour of the Centers for…

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What will be the name of the Boris Johnson’s baby?

What will be the name of the Boris Johnson’s baby?

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Ladbrokes have this market on the name of the baby Carrie Symonds will give birth to later this year and quite frankly this seems like a brilliant way to contribute to the Christmas bonus fund for Ladbrokes politics team. Whilst the screenshot at the top of this article doesn’t show the full list there’s nothing that sounds truly appealing, especially given we do not know the gender of the baby which will eliminate around fifty per cent of the names…

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Don’t fear the reaper. How Covid-19 will change us

Don’t fear the reaper. How Covid-19 will change us

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It’s coming. A month ago, Covid-19 was just a news story from China. No longer. It is rife in Iran and Italy, the USA seems barely to have a handle on the scale of the problem it is facing and there have been cases on six continents.  Britain has had its first deaths from the disease. It is practically certain to see many more. There is good news.  It doesn’t seem as though we’re all going to die.  Not of Covid-19…

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Kamala Harris remains betting favourite to be the Democratic VP nominee

Kamala Harris remains betting favourite to be the Democratic VP nominee

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I have a long history of always losing money betting on who will be the Vice Presidential nomination in an American presidential election. Even for WH2020 I’m in negative territory having had a small wager on Elizabeth Warren before the big moves ahead of Super Tuesday that saw Pete Buttigieg and Amy klobuchar get behind Joe Biden It his piece this morning David herdson suggested Julian Castro was a good bet and that has helped shift him on Betfair to…

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