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Get well soon, Prime Minister

10/5/2020 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Six words brought down a Prime Minister: “Don’t you think she looks tired?” Alright, she was the entirely fictional Prime Minister Harriet Jones in Doctor Who, but the point is a good one. Boris Johnson does not need the interference of a Time Lord for the public to be questioning his health. He looks terrible. For many years, he has traded off looking rumpled. He now looks dishevelled and haunted. Poor man. He succumbed to exactly the virus from which he was supposed to…

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Holyrood 2021: The election that could kill the Union stone dead?

10/5/2020 TSE Comments 0 Comment

I’m genuinely looking forward to next year’s Holyrood election, 2011 and 2016 were really profitable elections thanks to Iain Grey’s dire ratings indicating a shellacking for Labour and in 2016 you could get 8/1 on the day of the election on the SNP not obtaining a majority, sometimes betting from distance gives a great perspective. On the political front this might be the most important election this decade, if the the SNP win a majority then it reinforces their mandate…

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Biden’s VP pick: The case for Kamala Harris

9/5/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The first of a look at the main options The most lively political betting market at the moment is on who Joe Biden will choose to be his nominee for the vice presidential slot. The party convention is not due to take place until August vote but it is expected that he will make an announcement sometime before then. What makes this more important than usual is Biden’s age, 77, and occasionally the frail way that he appears. It is…

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“Never again” means nothing if we recite the words while forgetting the lessons

9/5/2020 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

VE Day was just the end of the beginning We’ll meet again – although probably only the once in that sense. The World War II generation are now very elderly and while some will survive to the eightieth anniversary in 2025, they’ll be few: the youngest in their late-nineties, most past a hundred. Thereafter, the direct link will be broken. In terms of the global political leadership, that link was long since severed. The last British PM to have experienced…

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The voting intention polls since LAB got its new leader

8/5/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Although there has been no big breakthrough for LAB since double election loser Corbyn was replaced by Starmer a positive is that the party is now out of the 20s and the CON share is edging down. Inevitably during a crisis like this one it is hard for the opposition leader to get a look in because just about the only story being covered by the national media has been the pandemic. A worry for the Tories is the growing…

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The polls aren’t moving but Labour shouldn’t be too concerned

8/5/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Keir Starmer always had a mountain climb and the covid-19 crisis has made his task even tougher. But, argues Joff Wild, writing Labour off at this stage would be a mistake The government is presiding over a mounting coronavirus death toll, many ministers seem completely out of their depth, Keir Starmer is beginning to provide considered and serious opposition, so why aren’t the headline numbers in the polls even hinting at a change of mood? The two most recent show…

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The Other 2020 US Elections – the Democratic party fight to take back control of the Senate

7/5/2020 robert Comments 0 Comment

Yes, all eyes are on the Presidency. But let us not forget that there are other national US elections taking place on November 3: the Senate and the House of Representatives. I’m not going to dwell on the House, where I think the Republicans will regain some ground, but not enough to take the Chamber back. Instead, let’s talk about the Senate. The current composition is 53 Republicans, 45 Democrats and 2 Independents. The two Independents (Bernie Sanders and Angus…

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If TMay hadn’t called GE2017 and lost the CON majority there would have been a general election today

7/5/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

It is perhaps worth reminding ourselves that today would have been General Election day if Theresa May had not gone early in 2017. When she took over as leader and Prime Minister after the referendum she made it very clear that she had no intentions of rushing into an early general election. Under the fixed-term Parliament Act the general election was due to take place on May 7th 2020 which given what is happening now with the coronavirus pandemic would…

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