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Biden moves up even more in the WH2020 betting with latest polls giving him double digit leads

8/6/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

It has been a remarkably good few days for Joe Biden in the White House race betting as can be seen in the chart above. He is now as strong a favourite as he ever has been with the money going on him and punters becoming more sceptical about the incumbent. This has been a period, of course, which has been dominated by the huge demonstrations across America and even the world following the murder by the police of the…

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What’s the government going to do about the demand from the US to quiz Prince Andrew?

8/6/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Will Patel say yes or no? Anybody who has watched the latest Netflix series on Jeffrey Epstein will be struck how often Prince Andrew features with the US paedophile who committed suicide whilst in prison and, inevitably the police inquiry was going to focus at some stage on the British royal. The Sun reports: Andrew, 60, has so far refused to be quizzed by New York prosecutors investigating Epstein’s evil historic sex trafficking network but strongly denies any wrongdoing. Until…

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The case for betting on a Trump victory in November

7/6/2020 Editor Comments 0 Comment

A guest slot from Mr. Ed on Why he thinks the President will be re-elected If you don’t want Trump to win in November (which I think is most people on this site), then there is plenty of data out there to give you hope. The RCP national polling average has Biden’s lead over Trump at +7.1%. In key swing states, the RCP average also shows Biden leading in all 5 (FL, PA, WI, NC, AZ) and polls have suggested…

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Food, Glorious Food!

7/6/2020 CycleFree Comments 0 Comment

Covid-19 and a prolonged lockdown have bought us few good things. There are some, though:- A cleaner, less polluted environment. It may be temporary but what joy there is in having clear quiet skies, bird song you can hear, cleaner air. The importance of local food, strong resilient supply chains and food security. Empty shelves and foodstuffs unobtainable, whether for love or money, have been an unwelcome surprise. The importance and value of treating animals, especially those we farm and…

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Patched with virtue. Britain’s historical legacy and how black lives matter

7/6/2020 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Hong Kong has been much in the news recently, with the Chinese government looking to unilaterally set aside part of the “two systems” approach that it agreed to when Britain ceded it in 1997 by imposing new national security laws on it. British public opinion is rightly deeply concerned. The British government has offered Hong Kongers with a British National Overseas passport the right to live and work in the UK. This is an admirable and principled stance by the…

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Starmer moves to a 35% net approval lead over Johnson while all three polls tonight have the voting gap getting very close

6/6/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

And Boris only 1% clear as best PM It has been a big night of polling with three new surveys all showing the Conservative lead over Labour getting narrower. The voting numbers are: Opinium CON: 43% (-) LAB: 40% (+1) LD: 6% (-) SNP: 5% (-) GRN: 3% (-) Survation, CON 41% (-4) LAB 39% (+5) LD 7% (-1) GRN 4% (-) SNP 4% (-) BXP 1% (+1) Deltapoll CON 41% (-2) LAB 38% (-) LD 8% (-) OTH 13%…

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The case for making “personality” ratings a good electoral indicator

6/6/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

A guest slot from isam Last month, Keir Starmer appeared on the television in my front room to give his response to the Prime Minister’s Covid-19 statement. A few seconds later my eyes glazed over, a few more passed and I switched the tv off saying “Jesus, he is dull”. It set me thinking that in a world of Reality tv, tiktok, snapchat, (none of which I am a fan of), and general instant gratification, (which I kind of am)…

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Trump 2024: the game’s changed and a third term is possible

6/6/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The norms, expectations and opportunities of American politics are changing Let’s get ahead of ourselves. I do not expect Donald Trump to win a second term and neither do punters betting hard cash. At the time of writing, he was just over 2.2 on Betfair to win November’s election and marginally odds against with traditional bookies. I think that’s still a bit short. Trump’s job approval figures have just dropped to a seven-month low (albeit within quite a small range),…

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