Above is the latest betting chart on the current race for the White House which has seen a big decline in the chances of a Trump victory with a corresponding increase in Joe Biden’s position As you would expect the chart is very similar to the trend in the polls where the current RCP average has Biden 9.8% ahead. It is important to stress that in the national polls Joe Biden is doing markedly better than Hillary Clinton was at…
In the aftermath of Jo Swinson defeat in her constituency at the December 2019 general election the Lib Dems decided to postpone the process for selecting her replacement until after the planned 2020 May local elections. Well coronavirus put paid to that plan and then the party decided that the leadership election should take place a year on in the spring of 2021. That proved to be very controversial within the membership and a revised timetable was agreed with nominations…
So many WH2020 polls are coming out at the moment but virtually all are showing the same big picture – Biden with double digit leads. Tonight sees the above from the reputable Pew Research which has produced the above graphic on its latest findings which gives a good picture of the divide.
The former PM – now her successor’s leading Tory critic The latest intervention by TMay in the Commons above isn’t the first and won’t be the last time that the former PM is going to make known her views of the current leadership. She’s particularly furious about the sacking of senior civil servant instigated by the lockdown deviant, Dom Cummings. I thought today’s TMay’s move was smart because she focussed on the issue of national security raising doubts about the…
He may have stood the for Democratic WH2020 nomination but he’s not part of the party in the US Senate The other really big election taking place in the United States on November 2nd is for the US Senate where currently the Republicans have 53 of the 100 seats. If indeed Trump is ousted on that day the Democratic victory will only be really meaningful if the party takes the Senate as well. This is going to be far from…
Christo (who died earlier this month) and Jeanne-Claude were two of our age’s most haunting artists. Their life’s work – because we can fairly see it as a single piece – entailed the planning, project management and execution of the wrapping of ever more unlikely items. Balloons, trees, islands, the Pont Neuf, the Reichstag and the gates of Central Park were all subject to a series of superficially short-lived installations. As one critic said of their work, “to seek ‘the…
I am a great fan of the Opinium weekly poll for the Observer. The firm gets its full datasets out at the same time as when the poll is published on a Saturday evening and it has a series of questions in every survey that are always asked with the result that we can compare changes over time. Opinium also has a range of cross-heads that can really add to our understanding. One group is on CON and LAB leavers…