Compulsory face mask wearing – the Brexit divide

Compulsory face mask wearing – the Brexit divide

Above is today’s polling from YouGov on the compulsory wearing of face masks when at work. As can be seen there’s a relatively tight split, within the margin of error, on whether those sampled back or oppose the idea. What I find interesting is the Referendum vote split with Remainers saying it should be compulsory by an 8% margin and Leavers saying it shouldn’t by the same margin. The compulsory wearing highlights presents ideologically difficulties for those who, like ex-UKIP…

Read More Read More

Ex-US Ambassador to the UN, Susan Rice, continues to be strong in the Dem VP betting with Harris still favourite

Ex-US Ambassador to the UN, Susan Rice, continues to be strong in the Dem VP betting with Harris still favourite

We could be less than three weeks away from a decision My main political betting activity at the moment is on who Joe Biden is going to choose as his vice presidential nominee. He has to have this in place before the party’s rescheduled convention in middle August but there have been indications that we could know the name by the start of next month. I should state that my record in betting on Vice presidential nominees has over the…

Read More Read More

Sunak now level-pegging with Johnson on who would make the “best PM”

Sunak now level-pegging with Johnson on who would make the “best PM”

The Chancellor is also 8% ahead of Starmer Newbie pollsters, Redfield & Wilton are now asking their samples every week “At this moment, which of the following individuals do you think would be the better Prime Minister for the United Kingdom? ” One of the comparisons is between Boris Johnson and Ricki Sunak. As can be seen from the Wikipedia table above Johnson has led on this by margins of upto 13% in the past three polls but in the…

Read More Read More

The decision to make mask wearing in shops compulsory dominates the front pages

The decision to make mask wearing in shops compulsory dominates the front pages

But is this another pandemic measure that should have been brought in earlier? So the decision has last been made that shoppers in England should be forced by law to wear masks in shops but not till July 24th. Like other elements in Britain’s attempt to to contain the pandemic the big political issue has been on the timing. Should this have been brought in earlier? The Independent notes: As early as 21 April, the government’s Scientific Advisory Group for…

Read More Read More

Pence for Republican VP nominee – what are the chances that he won’t be?

Pence for Republican VP nominee – what are the chances that he won’t be?

While there’s been a lot of betting activity on Biden’s VP pick (£1.2m so far matched on Betfair) there’s been much less activity on Mike Pence being on the Republican ticket (just £12k) once again in November. He’s currently at 1.11/1.16 on Betfair which might be value for the lay. There are a couple of ways that he’s not in the VP slot. First Trump could pull out of the race and there have been some suggestions that this might…

Read More Read More

How long before Johnson’s “should” wear masks become a legal requirement?

How long before Johnson’s “should” wear masks become a legal requirement?

Govey is taking a different view The growing big political issue in relation to controlling the pandemic is whether or not people should be required to wear masks. What is interesting is there appears to be a difference in opinion between Johnson and senior cabinet minister Michael Gove who told the BBC yesterday that face coverings should not be mandatory. The big difference between Johnson and Gove, of course, is that the former has actually been through the turmoil and…

Read More Read More

As Covid soars to new US peak YouGov polling suggests that Trump is being hurt most amongst those who feel worst affected

As Covid soars to new US peak YouGov polling suggests that Trump is being hurt most amongst those who feel worst affected

New CBS polling in three big sunbelt states that now look to be highly competitive has found that the more voters are concerned about the virus the more they are likely to support Biden. The three states, Arizona, Florida and Texas have been amongst the worst hit in the resurgence of the pandemic and this is reflected in the polling. In the states Biden is now leading Trump by 6% in Florida, and with highly competitive races in Arizona and in…

Read More Read More