Whenever there is a new US President one of the first betting markets to appear is this one – where will be his/her first international visit. What I like about the above one from Smarkets is that it limits the list to six obvious ones. The Ukraine is also on the list but nobody had bet on it at the time of me doing my screen grab. We know that Biden is almost certain to be in the UK for…
The big question is which way will Mitch McConnell go At the start of a momentous week in US politics the big question is whether the Senate is going to follow the the House of Representatives’ move last week and pass a resolution impeaching the outgoing president. It looks as though this decision will take place after president Biden has been inaugurated and that the first weeks of his administration could be dominated by the impeachment question. The key figure…
Donald Rumsfeld once famously said: “Reports that say that something hasn’t happened are always interesting to me, because as we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns – the ones we don’t know we don’t know”. For that, he won the Plain English Campaign’s Foot In Mouth award…
Who would have thought Donald Trump, a man in his 70s, could maintain an election for over two months but even Trump has now bowed to the inevitable and realised not even inciting an insurrection will stop Joe Biden becoming President on Wednesday. The sore loser that Trump is means he has already said he won’t be attending Biden’s inauguration and the reports are that on the morning of the inauguration Trump will head to his Mar-a-Lago residence in Palm…
, Sadiq Khan is cruising to victory in the delayed London elections, but it’s all to play for across the pond. Bill de Blasio is term-limited, and Democrats have 5 months to choose his successor (in their primary, the Republicans have little chance in the general). There are 38 candidates who have filed and the frontrunner is the both the wildcard and the only one you may have heard of… Andrew Yang (2/1 at Ladbrokes) may have come 9th in…
An old normalcy will do nothing to shake Europe from its complacency Chicago has produced more than its fair share of colourful politicians. Rod Blagojevich – recently pardoned by Donald Trump – was impeached in 2009 as Governor of Illinois for attempting to sell (among other executive actions) Barack Obama’s former senate seat after the latter was elected president. A half-century earlier, Mayor Richard J Daley ran the city like a fiefdom, making and breaking presidential campaigns along the way….
Could Trump have to do something similar? The big lie of the post WH2020 US political world has been that repeated endlessly by Trump about voting fraud and how the Dominion voting machines were set up. Much of the Trump supporting media has gone along with this though the incumbent’s efforts in the courts have all flopped. Now as we get to just five days before Trump departs those who have been on the wrong side of legal action by…