Let’s admit it: the Good Friday Agreement is incompatible with Brexit

Let’s admit it: the Good Friday Agreement is incompatible with Brexit

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Northern Ireland’s arrangements need overhauling before they break down No-one cares about Northern Ireland. Lots of people say they do of course but in reality, as long as bombs aren’t going off (or, at worst, are only going off in Derry or Strabane or the like), then it’s either left to get on by itself, an insoluble problem best left alone, or a political football to be kicked in the interests of whoever’s kicking it. If they did care, it…

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Setting the scene for next Thursday’s local elections

Setting the scene for next Thursday’s local elections

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CON position better than LE2016 but worse than LE2017 – the years when most of the seats last fought Next Thursday, I think I’m safe in asserting, we will see the largest set of local elections ever to take place in England. This is because the group of seats that should have been voted on last year had their elections postponed and of course this year we have the 2017 cohort. On top of that we have several hundred local…

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How Bad Is the French Vaccine Roll Out?

How Bad Is the French Vaccine Roll Out?

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The perception and the reality France – the country of Pasteur, Marie Curie, Descartes, and Pascal – has a problem with vaccine hesitancy. Their own President, in a bizarre moment of self-harm, decided to declare the Oxford/Astra-Zeneca vaccine as “quasi-ineffective” for older people. Add this to long-standing issues with skepticism about vaccines generally, and you have a recipe for a country that is going to struggle to get jabs into arms – potentially resulting in France never being truly free…

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Arlene Foster, End Of An Era. Who Next?

Arlene Foster, End Of An Era. Who Next?

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As We All Know Arlene Foster Has Resigned From Her DUP Leader & First Minister Duties. She Was Leader For Almost Six Years. There Were Ups And There Were Downs. In My Honest Opinion, She Simply Made Too Many Mistakes And The Pressure Has Been Building For A Number Of Months. With Arlene Leaving In May, Who Will Be The Next DUP Leader? Below Are The Runners & Profiles For Each Candidate: Name : Jeffrey Donaldson (Aged 58)Current Odds :…

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In the betting punters now rate the chances of a Boris 2021 exit at 25%

In the betting punters now rate the chances of a Boris 2021 exit at 25%

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As yet I’m not convinced – but things could change Inevitably after the extraordinary manner in which Boris conducted himself at PMQs today there’s been an increase in speculation over when he will actually step aside. The betting on both the Smarkets (above) and Betfair exchanges rate this currently as a 25% chance. He could decide of his own accord that he’s had enough but I doubt it. What generally ends it for a Tory leader is MPs thinking that…

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On a day when a poll had 59% saying Johnson’s “untrustworthy” the betting money edges to an earlier departure

On a day when a poll had 59% saying Johnson’s “untrustworthy” the betting money edges to an earlier departure

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There has been quite a lot of activity on the Boris Johnson exit date betting markets and we’ve seen over the past couple of days 2021 being the year of his going move from an 8% chance to tonight a 21% one. Clearly, there has been a lot of pressure building up and today in the law courts a judge has ruled that there should be a judicial review of the lack of action taken by Johnson over the bullying…

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