As We All Know Arlene Foster Has Resigned From Her DUP Leader & First Minister Duties. She Was Leader For Almost Six Years. There Were Ups And There Were Downs. In My Honest Opinion, She Simply Made Too Many Mistakes And The Pressure Has Been Building For A Number Of Months. With Arlene Leaving In May, Who Will Be The Next DUP Leader? Below Are The Runners & Profiles For Each Candidate: Name : Jeffrey Donaldson (Aged 58)Current Odds :…
As yet I’m not convinced – but things could change Inevitably after the extraordinary manner in which Boris conducted himself at PMQs today there’s been an increase in speculation over when he will actually step aside. The betting on both the Smarkets (above) and Betfair exchanges rate this currently as a 25% chance. He could decide of his own accord that he’s had enough but I doubt it. What generally ends it for a Tory leader is MPs thinking that…
There has been quite a lot of activity on the Boris Johnson exit date betting markets and we’ve seen over the past couple of days 2021 being the year of his going move from an 8% chance to tonight a 21% one. Clearly, there has been a lot of pressure building up and today in the law courts a judge has ruled that there should be a judicial review of the lack of action taken by Johnson over the bullying…
Its been edging up not down A couple of months ago I did a post here and bet at evens that by the time Joe Biden got to his 100th day in office he would still have approval ratings in the range of 50-54.9%. I described this as one of the best political bets at the moment. My worry then with the bet was that the novelty of him not being Trump would start to decline and by the time…
Increasingly over the past week or so it has been the Mail that appears to have the most negative coverage of Mr. Johnson. Above is the latest for tomorrow’s paper. Of all the papers the Mail is probably the most significant and this run of bad front pages comes in the final build up to next week’s set of elections. The bodies piled high remark was first widely publicised by the Mail.
Over the past three days three separate national polls have been published. All of them show the Tory lead less than the general election but that is about as far as it goes. YouGov and Opinium are both online while Ipsos is carried out by phone. All three pollsters are very well established in the UK with records going back over several elections and each of them have regular media partners. Make of this what you wish. The outcomes if…