politicalbetting.com

More Brits think they could beat a crocodile in a fight than think Kemi Badenoch will be PM after the next general election. I am glad YouGov listened to my suggestion and polled who the public think would be PM after the next election and the results are sub-optimal for Kemi Badenoch who I am even more convinced will not be Tory leader at the election. What really should worry the Tories is that the public think the next election…

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As a human being I loved the fact that Berlin Wall and Iron Curtain fell and millions were liberated from the tyranny of communism but as a Eurovision fan I regret that the Berlin Wall and the Iron Curtain fell as it has ruined Eurovision which used to be great betting opportunity but less so now, and the new voting system hasn’t helped. My strategy of many years has been to lay Le Royaume-Uni and this year Israel (the latter…

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How does the state treat those it has wronged – whether through its actions or failures to act? Badly. Some examples: Blood Contamination The majority of the victims have died while waiting for compensation. Why? “could not in conscience add to the decades-long delays many of you have already experienced due to failures to recognise the depth of your losses. Those delays have themselves been harmful.” Despite some interim payments made in October the judge went on: “My judgement is…

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If I had taken part in this poll the pedant in me would have said it is very unlikely Nigel Farage will become Prime Minister within the next four years simply because I expect the next general election to be held in just over four years. However the changes since January is reflective of the wider polls and local elections. TSE

TSE

This is a fascinating analysis and if it holds true at the election we might be able to extrapolate where Reform (and the Lib Dems) will do better which has important betting considerations. TSE

I am no fan of Rupert Lowe but everybody with a sense of decency will be delighted for him today. I noted at the time of his suspension that timing felt odd, on Thursday he criticised Nigel Farage publicly and the next day he had the whip removed over these allegations. Now that he has been vindicated I expect Lowe’s libel action against Farage, Lee Anderson, and Zia Yusuf will now accelerate which will cause problems for them, this is…

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TSE