Starmer moves to a 30% approval lead over Johnson

Starmer moves to a 30% approval lead over Johnson

The PM gets his worst rating ever As regular PBers will know I attach a lot more importance to approval ratings than voting intention polls which I why the above from Survation is being highlighted. Net ratings, that is deducting the disapprove figure from the approve one, for Johnson have seen the PM drop very sharply in recent weeks and he now stands at minus 32%. Starmer is on minus 2% so there is a gap of 30%. This is…

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Wallace might top ConHome’s list but he’s still a relative unknown

Wallace might top ConHome’s list but he’s still a relative unknown

it is a measure of how precarious the prime minister’s position is seen to be that so much attention today is being paid the latest ConHome survey on possible leadership contenders. At the top but only with 15.76% of the “votes” is DefSec Ben Wallace someone who was an almost total unknown a few months back. In the betting Wallace is currently in fourth for Next PM and third place for next CON leader. If there was an early contest…

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Punters still make a 2022 exit favourite for The Liar King

Punters still make a 2022 exit favourite for The Liar King

Although the Liar King survived last month’s confidence vote amongst Tory MPs the danger is not over for the PM. Next on the agenda is the election of the 1922 Committee executive committee and if anti-Johnson MPs do well in the MP election then it could prove to be troublesome. The new executive could amend the rules that currently give a leader a year’s grace after surviving a confidence vote if the will is there. There is talk of a…

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Looking ahead to 2022 Senate Elections

Looking ahead to 2022 Senate Elections

Where’s the betting value? There are four months until the next set of US elections. And midterms – normally – are not kind to the incumbent party. And that’s in normal times: this time around, you have an unpopular President lacking his predecessor’s hard core of support, and an unprecedented cost of living increase. The House is near certain to fall to the Republicans. But the Senate could be different. There are four crucial races, three are Democrat defences, and…

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