The PM gets his worst rating ever As regular PBers will know I attach a lot more importance to approval ratings than voting intention polls which I why the above from Survation is being highlighted. Net ratings, that is deducting the disapprove figure from the approve one, for Johnson have seen the PM drop very sharply in recent weeks and he now stands at minus 32%. Starmer is on minus 2% so there is a gap of 30%. This is…
it is a measure of how precarious the prime minister’s position is seen to be that so much attention today is being paid the latest ConHome survey on possible leadership contenders. At the top but only with 15.76% of the “votes” is DefSec Ben Wallace someone who was an almost total unknown a few months back. In the betting Wallace is currently in fourth for Next PM and third place for next CON leader. If there was an early contest…
Although the Liar King survived last month’s confidence vote amongst Tory MPs the danger is not over for the PM. Next on the agenda is the election of the 1922 Committee executive committee and if anti-Johnson MPs do well in the MP election then it could prove to be troublesome. The new executive could amend the rules that currently give a leader a year’s grace after surviving a confidence vote if the will is there. There is talk of a…
Where’s the betting value? There are four months until the next set of US elections. And midterms – normally – are not kind to the incumbent party. And that’s in normal times: this time around, you have an unpopular President lacking his predecessor’s hard core of support, and an unprecedented cost of living increase. The House is near certain to fall to the Republicans. But the Senate could be different. There are four crucial races, three are Democrat defences, and…
Is no part of the country safe from Boris Johnson’s toxicity? If you have fallen into a coma in 1996 and woken up this week you might have thought you’d have been in a coma for a few days not 26 years as Tory sleaze and the Lib Dems surging all over the place in by elections seems to still be all the rage, all that is missing is having 2 Unlimited and Gina G in the top 40. The…
If you’re betting on Sir Keir Starmer’s leadership ending in 2022 then this news will get you excited. I’m still of the belief that if Starmer resigns after receiving a FPN then the pressure on the Prime Minister to resign will become unassailable. With the Prime Minister facing a pinch point with his appointment of Chris Pincher, despite all the warnings, the PM seems even more vulnerable despite winning the vote of confidence last month because of the Pincher scandal….
So far at least Mr. Pincher (which seems an unfortunate name given the circumstances) has not resigned as an MP and we await the inquiry into what actually happened that caused this whole affair to explode yesterday. My sense is that Pincher is not going to be pushed into resignation as easy as one or two other Tory MPs recently. After all he was Deputy Chief Whip and should be in a better position to defend himself. He is said…