At evens LAB looks value for a Commons majority
But could a new CON leader change things?
Is Liz Truss still a republican?
Video: Footage of Liz Truss rightly denouncing the monarchy. Will Liz Truss damage the monarchy the way she has damaged the Tory Party? This weekend The Times reported that Truss may ask King Charles III to approve delay of Boris Johnson’s peerages Boris Johnson has nominated up to eight Conservative MPs for peerages in his resignation honours list, prompting frantic efforts by Liz Truss to avoid a series of damaging by-election defeats. The former prime minister is understood to have…
Grant Shapps as our next Prime Minister?
‘Never trust anybody who spells gonorrhoea correctly on the first attempt’ is a maxim that has served me well in life, I am updating that maxim to ‘never trust anybody who believes in the economic policies of Liz Truss.’ I am convinced an overwhelming number of Tory MPs agree with my updated maxim. In today’s Sunday Times it is reported Grant Shapps is crunching the numbers on the plot to oust Truss but the story contained this little nugget. Behind…
Retaining Senate control would be a huge boost for Biden
And a blow for Trump We are just over a month away from the November 8th US mid-term elections when generally, as the table above indicates, the party of the incumbent president does not do well. In all but 2 set of midterms since the mid 1970s the incumbent’s party has lost seats in both the Senate and the House. On November 8th all 435 house seats will be up for grabs and 36 of the 100 Senate seats will…
Just how long can she survive?
The main argument for her be able to stay in post is that the Tory Party would look rather silly having another leader following all the changes in a very short period. We all recall that Cameron survived until the referendum was lost and was followed by Theresa May. She had the job of trying to get the Brexit legislation through Parliament without having enough MPs. She called the 2017 general election and ended up with even fewer MPs. This…
A LAB majority still longer than evens in the betting
Inevitably given the polling since Truss became the prime minister the betting has moved to LAB to win a majority at the next general election. But even though some polls have them at 33% ahead of the Tories punters still make a Labour majority longer than evens A big issue with this bet is that it may be that the Tories decide to replace Liz Truss with someone who is a better a communicator and has the ability to attract…
The Speccie speculates – “Rishi by Christmas?”
With the huge collapse in the Tory poll ratings and the terrible approval numbers for Truss there is clearly a lot of speculation going on about what happens next for the Tory Party. The first month of her job has been characterised by a massive collapse for the party in the voting polls and her recording personal ratings which are completely unprecedented. The Spectator’s Katy Balls has a column headed “Could it be Rishi by Christmas” in which she sums…