The first post-Christmas poll has LAB leading by 26%

The first post-Christmas poll has LAB leading by 26%

Is there any way back for Sunak’s party? The party started 2022 with average leads about 4%. Just compare that with what we are seeing at the moment. It is hard to argue anything other than the voting public is tired of the Tories and wants change and maybe the current trend will continue until that point in 2024 or sooner when whoever is the leader decides to go to the country. The Tories tried changing their leader and have…

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Are the Tories too far behind to recover?

Are the Tories too far behind to recover?

Near certain defeat seems to face Sunak’s party In an analysis in the I the prominent political scientist Professor John Curtice suggests that the Tories might be too far behind to stage a meaningful recovery to avoid being defeated at the next general election Things went very wrong for the party in the aftermath of the mini-budget last September and as the polling shows the Tories are still a long way behind since in spite of staging a little bit…

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Betting now on Trump for the WH2024 GOP nomination seems crazy

Betting now on Trump for the WH2024 GOP nomination seems crazy

One of the moderately busy political betting markets at the moment is on who will win the Republican nomination for the 2024 White House Race. Currently ex-President Donald Trump tops of polls and also the betting where he’s rated as a 30% chance. I think those being tempted have got this one wrong especially as we know that the formal nomination and likely betting payout will not be until August 2024. There’s a lot of political campaigning and other issues…

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The 2022 StJohn PB Christmas Crossword (Est 2006)

The 2022 StJohn PB Christmas Crossword (Est 2006)

Across 1 Recollecting a time of lasting economic difficulty (11)  7 Note heard from a distance (3)  9 President to cling on after losing a territory (9)  10 To get rid of a nominal tax (5) 11 The Spanish had his ear as EU President (7) 12 Emperor and a King attending buffet in Number Ten (7) 13 Vice President finally interrupts vacation and returns (5)  15 Felt, for instance, a rat (9) 17 Clinton was one politician every journalist…

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Labour has been edging back in Scotland

Labour has been edging back in Scotland

I have long held the view that Labour’s chances of ever securing another Commons majority were completely smashed at the 2015 General Election when they saw their position in Scotland totally obliterated. They went into that election defending 41 of the 59 Scottish seats. They ended with a single MP north of the border and things haven’t really changed since. So the polling trend in Scotland as seen in the Wikipedia table above is fairly encouraging for Starmer and his…

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