A huge problem for Sunak as he contemplates the way forward is that the previous two Tory leaders are still very active in the party and want to have an impact on the future Truss has now re-emerged with her own policy agenda in which she seeks to change the philosophical approach of the Tory Party. Johnson has made no secret of the fact that he wants his old job back and that he’s waiting for the opportunity to pounce….
After his punchy State of the Union address this week the betting money has started to flow back onto Joe Biden to win the 2024 presidential election. His performance for that nationally televised event attracted very positive ratings and the polls found 70% and more saying he was doing well. I have been something of a Biden sceptic because of his age but I was impressed by his State of the Union performance and the way he dealt with the…
Tories are always keen to present tax cuts as essential to business confidence and investment, growth and making a country a desirable place to work and live. They are markedly less keen to focus on other factors affecting business and personal decisions. Let’s take two of them: good governance and certainty about the laws affecting you. Yes, I’m afraid it’s time to revisit the Retained EU Law (Revocation and Reform) Bill and the Bill of Rights Bill. (Yes, it is…
Expect to see a lot more of the clip above in the next few months as both the Republicans and the Democrats gear up for the presidential election next year. I thought the Biden played this brilliantly and has managed to raise the spectre of parts of the Republican party wanting to undermine the limited social welfare systems that exist already in the United States. This has changed my view of Biden and believe that he will will find it…
And Sturgeon gets worst numbers ever A Scotland-only poll is quite rare and we have a new one from Ipsos. The main leader ratings are featured in their charts above. I really do like the way that these days pollsters are working very hard at finding different ways of presenting their findings and that the above one is a case in point. While 43% of the public have a favourable opinion of Nicola Sturgeon, an identical proportion – 43% –…
I quite like polling charts like the above one because it does break down a lot of the perceptions about the two leaders who dominate our politics. Some of the elements are clearly better for the incumbent Prime Minister like getting on with foreign leaders while others are bound to fit more comfortably his main opponent. The fact that Starmer leads by a little bit on most of the characteristics really reflects what we seeing the approval ratings. Is interesting…
His gaffes are becoming a big issue It does not take long searching on YouTube to find compilation videos like the one above showing gaffes by 80 year old Joe Biden. As we look forward to WH2024 the incumbent’s age is becoming the big issue. With the President due to make his state of the Union address this evening there’s new polling out which suggests that his hopes of serving a second term are not being welcomed by Democrat voters….
One of the great strengths that Liz Trust has is her popularity with the Conservative membership. This was seen in the months and years leading up to the July-September 2022 leadership election when she regularly topped the monthly Conservative Home survey of the most favoured Cabinet ministers. If there was to be another ballot, and it’s far from certain that will be the case, it is probably best to assume that she would have similar levels of support. In the…