Is Howard’s campaigning having an impact? The February ICM poll in the Guardian tomorrow shows that Labour’s lead has dropped to 3%. The vote shares with changes on the same poll last month are: LAB 37 (-3) : CON 34 (+3) : LD 21 (n/c). For the Tories this is the best position with ICM since March last year and suggests that Michael Howard’s high-profile initiatives on crime and immigration are making an impact. For Labour the poll will be…
After the poll famine – the feast: we hope! With the opening of the offical campaign for a May 5 General Election only weeks away there’s been a dearth of opinion polls. So far in February there have been just three national surveys and we are now three-quarters of the way through, what is admittedly, the shortest month. Compare that with January when we saw a total of ten polls including five extra surveys beyond the five regular ones that…
The betting moves a notch to Labour Overall there has been a slight change in market sentiment towards Labour although not all the betting prices have shifted. If you are making any General Election bets we would be grateful if you could click on the links below. This site costs now costs a lot of money to run and to keep going without being too out of pocket we hope to receive some commission from bookmakers. Currently this goes nowhere…
In the wake of the euphoria following last week’s visit to assess London ability to stage the 2012 Olymic Games some UK bookmakers have tightened the odds on the capital being chosen. Paris, however, remains the very firm favourite, and its price only eased a touch during last week’s visit. It is an even stronger favourite on the non-UK markets. The best UK bookie price on London is now 7/2; the Betfair betting exchange has 4.1/1 but with the US-focussed…
Unmoderated sites like this offer easy pickings for the spam merchants and we have to keep it under control all the time. As users might have noticed we have had a very bad weekend. Until now we’ve mostly been the target of on-line gambling sites – not porno ones. That has changed and we have had to broaden the range of words and phrases that will not get through. This will mean that some legitimate comments might not be published…
Don’t tell him that you read the Guardian or the Indy Being the one alternative voice in the UK polling industry Peter Kellner, boss of the internet firm, YouGov, is going to come under intense scrutiny in the coming weeks and none more so than over the way those his firm surveys are “self-selecting”. For instead of a pollster going out to find “random” voters to interview all of YouGov’s polls are confined to a panel of more than 50,000…
But is the policy more popular than the party? A Populus poll for the News of the World today has more than 8 in out of 10 people backing Tory plans to screen immigrants for infectious diseases. Some 82% said people coming to Britain should undergo testing for diseases such as HIV and tuberculosis while 68% of those surveyed rejected claims it was a racist policy. There are no party break-down figures in the online version of the story and…
Do voters want this man be able to detain suspects without trial? When you are just weeks away from a General Election everything has to be judged in terms of its impact on the voters – and yesterday’s Downing Street summit on the controversial anti-terror laws and new powers for the Home Secretary is no exception. With both the Tories and the Lib Dems refusing to back measures that would allow the Home Secretary on his own to impose house…