The betting moves a notch to Labour

Overall there has been a slight change in market sentiment towards Labour although not all the betting prices have shifted.

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Party winning most seats. The week has seen a very slight easing in the Labour price .
LAB: 1/8 CON: 6/1 (9/1 BF) LD: 66/1(129/1 – BF)

A Hung Parliament?. No change on the week.
Yes: 7/2 No : 1/6

General Election Date. There’s been a hardening of the April-June price and an easing of the odds against it being before March 31st.
Apr – Jun 2005 : 0.09/1 Jan – Mar 2005 : 15/1Jul – Sep 2005 : 54/1
After Mar 2006: 109/1 Oct – Dec 2005: 149/1 Jan – Mar 2006: 199/1

Turnout. There’s been a big move towards a higher turnout which was at more than 3/1 just three weeks ago.
0% – 55%: 9/4 55% – 60%: 7/4 60% +: 5/4

Labour Seats. The two bookies in this market are going in slightly different directions. Find the bet that makes most sense to you.
0 – 339: 7/4 0 – 345: 7/4 340 – 365: 15/8
345 – 375: 13/8 366 +: 6/4 375 +: 7/4

Tory Seats. The markets are taking a slightly more pessimistic view of Michael Howard’s chances of getting above the “magic” 200 seat level.
0 – 189: 6/4 190 – 205: 2/1 205 +: 2/1

Lib Dem Seats. Slightly confusing because the bookies have different ranges but the Lib Dems are down just a touch.
0 – 64: 2/1 65 – 70: 9/4 65 – 80: 11/8
71 +: 11/10 81 +: 5/2

Plaid Cymru Seats. No change on week.
0 – 3 : 4/1 4: 5/45 +: 11/10

SNP Seats. No change in Scotland either.
0 – 4:7/4 5: 13/8 6 +: 13/8

Full IG Index Commons Seats Spreads Again a slight shift to Labour at the expense of the Tories but still no sign of a Veritas option. Come on IG – there’s people here who want to bet R K-S
LAB 355-362 (+2) : CON 190-197 (-2) : LD 68-72
SNP 5.5-6: PC 4.5-5
RES 0.5-1 UKIP 0.1-0.6
DUP 8-8.5: SF 5.5-6: UUP 2.5-3: SDLP 1-1.5

© Mike Smithson – Politicalbetting.com 2005