politicalbetting.com – Page 2348 – The web's premier resource for political betting.

PBC now more popular than the Speccie and the Staggers

25/12/2006 Editor

Happy Christmas to everybody? A new report from Alexa, the Amazon off-shoot that monitors internet traffic world-wide, places Politicalbetting.com as the sixth most visited news and media politics site in the UK ahead of even the sites of those well established political journals the New Statesman and the Spectator. YouGov is up there at number two because of all the traffic generated by its online polling. In the past week users filling in surveys have given it a page view…

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YouGov puts the Lib Dems down at just 15%

24/12/2006 Editor

Ming’s party at lowest point since the Mark Oaten revelations A new YouGov poll in the Sunday Times this morning has the Lib Dems down at their lowest point with the internet pollster since the Mark Oaten crisis during the leadership contest earlier in the year. The shares are compared with the Telegraph YouGov poll reported on Friday are – CON 37% (nc): LAB 32% (-1): LD 15% (-2). This decline is in line with the trend from other polls….

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Is Tony still the magic maker?

23/12/2006 Editor

Should Gordon be worried about the eulogies to Blair Tucked away in the detail of yesterday’s YouGov poll were the responses to the question “Who would make the best Prime Minister”? When the options were Blair, Cameron and Campbell 79% of Labour voters said Tony with just one per cent naming Cameron But when the same question was asked with Gordon Brown substituted for Tony Blair the proportion of Labour voters going for Brown dropped to 71% with 6% naming…

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Tory YouGov lead down to 4%

22/12/2006 Editor

But it’s 45-32 on the Cameron-Brown forced choice This month’s YouGov poll in the Daily Telegraph shows very little movement on a month ago. These are the shares – CON 37% (nc): LAB 33% (+1): LD 17% (+1). So the overall Tory lead is down a point with Labour and the Lib Dems both putting on a point. But the named leader measure that YouGov uses – a forced choice asking “would you prefer to see after the next election,…

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Should Populus and ICM be showing Labour leads?

22/12/2006 Editor

Why is less importance attached to the view of Labour voters? Detailed data from the December ICM and Populus polls shows that the reported shares followed the biggest scaling back of the views of those who said they voted Labour last time since the last election. If this process had not happened then, in spite of all the recent troubles, Blair-Brown’s party would have probably had poll leads. For in each of the two polls that we have had in…

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Is Miliband replacing Reid in the “what if” slot?

21/12/2006 Editor

Is the “Climate Change” debate giving him the opportunity to shine? The Labour leadership has appeared such a certainty for so long that we have barely discussed the “events dear boy – events” scenario of who would be in contention if something untoward happened to Gordon Brown or his campaign. And there’s one figure who has started to pick up support again – David Miliband the young Environment Secretary. As the chart showing best betting prices illustrates there has been…

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ICM puts the Tories in majority government territory

20/12/2006 Editor

Cameron’s party back at 40% as he demands a post-Blair election With the Tory leader, David Cameron ratcheting up the pressure on Gordon Brown to call an immediate General Election when he becomes leader there’s some good news for his party in the latest poll. ICM’s monthly survey for the Guardian – by far the longest polling series in the UK – puts the Tories back at the 40% level that they were last at in August. The shares, with…

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Jack W – 8,091 contributions since March 2005

19/12/2006 Editor

Best of luck from everyone associated with PBC For the past twenty months the discussions on PBC have been enriched by the wit, knowledge, and good judgement of Jack W who posted first on March 25th 2005 and has made a staggering 8,091 separate contributions. We had this message from him yesterday. Jack W says TTFN. I regret to report that this is something of a valedictory post from moi, at least for now I hope. Having seen off lifes…

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