Team Huhne claim late survey boost

Team Huhne claim late survey boost

Could it be closer than YouGov was suggesting? Chris Huhne’s campaign team have released details of a survey by an independent third party organisation which, they say, suggests a late surge in support of their man. The data purports to show that there’s been a big reduction in the number of undecided voters has fallen dramatically over the past ten days (from 38.4% to 17.5%) and that these members have plumped overwhelmingly for the older contender. These are the figures:…

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What do you need to be a good PM?

What do you need to be a good PM?

Is performing well in the Commons the critical element? The above tables are from a YouGov poll of 300 politics academics in UK universities which was prepared for the Political Studies Association. First those questioned were asked to choose a maximum of five from a list of qualities should “matter most if a prime minister is to be successful”. Then they were asked to choose from the same list which of the qualities “matter most” IN PRACTICE to those seeking…

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Are the Cleggies having second thoughts?

Are the Cleggies having second thoughts?

Does the odds-on favourite need to do more than look good? With only nine to to go before voting ends in the Lib Dem leadership there’s been a lot of questioning in the Lib Dem blogsphere over whether the odds-on and strong polling favourite, Nick Clegg is the right choice. He is also the candidate on whom I have bet £900. One factor that has sparked off the concern was his lacklustre performance on Tuesday’s Today Programme on Radio 4….

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…and this week’s resignation is…..

…and this week’s resignation is…..

Will this have a political impact or not? The big news this lunchtime is that the country’s top anti-terror cop, Andy Hayman has resigned, blaming the pressures of the job and “a series of leaks and unfounded accusations”. This follows criticism of him in the Stockwell tube shooting inquiry as well as a series of leaks about his private life. In itself this should not damage the government or the Prime Minister. But one resignation after another, set against a…

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Are Labour’s Scottish revelations coming from inside?

Are Labour’s Scottish revelations coming from inside?

Police are called in to find the “mole” With the donations row continue to dominate politics both north and south of the border there’s a new development in the Scotsman this morning – a suggestion that someone inside the party’s Scottish HQ is leaking information about donations. According to the paper’s main lead “..There is fury among senior Labour figures that someone with access to confidential information has been leaking it to the press and causing massive damage to the…

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Does this give some encouragement to Gordon?

Does this give some encouragement to Gordon?

How “certainty to vote” is driving the polls The above table has been reproduced from the full data set from yesterday’s ICM survey for the News of the World which showed that Labour was 11% behind. This highlights how those surveyed responded when asked how likely, on a scale of 1-10, it was that they would vote. The columns show how supporters of the various parties responded and also included is a breakdown based on what people said they did…

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Can Dave really do what’s only been done once since 1945?

Can Dave really do what’s only been done once since 1945?

Are the markets over-stating the chances of a Tory overall majority? It is a sobering fact that in only one of the seventeen general elections since the end of the Second World War has a party with a workable commons majority been replaced by another with a workable majority. In 1951, 1979 and 1997 the outgoing governments had ceased to have effective commons majorities. In 1964 and February 1974 the incoming governments had either minuscule majorities or were in a…

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Peter the Punter: “What about another PBC party?”

Peter the Punter: “What about another PBC party?”

Can you post your views below? Mike has asked me to sound out whether we are ready yet for another Party to celebrate the continued success of the Politcalbetting Site. We don’t need much of an excuse, but Mike giving up the day job and concentrating full time on running the world’s greatest web site seems plenty to me. Last year’s Party/Book Launch was a great success, partly due to the excellent location – The National Liberal Club. Presumably nobody…

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