Could the GOP nominee not even be in the race yet?

Could the GOP nominee not even be in the race yet?

Should you be betting against all the current front-runners? With White House nomination races continuing to dominate the political betting markets in the UK we are sticking with that this morning. In a round-up of where the Republican race lies after Romney’s emphatic victory in Michigan the Guardian‘s man in DC, Richard Adams, raises the possibility that the eventual winner might not yet be in the race. Under the heading that “only a lunatic or a fool would predict who…

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Does Michigan take the wind out of McCain’s sails?

Does Michigan take the wind out of McCain’s sails?

..and what about Hillary after 40% of Dems voted “uncommitted”? Another fascinating night for US primary watchers with Romney doing better than expectations in the GOP race to win with a thumping margin and a worrying result for Clinton in the Democratic election where she was the only main candidate. Most of the pre-election polling had suggested that McCain was running Romney very close in in his home state with at least two firms suggesting that the Arizona senator was…

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Can Romney pull it round in his father’s state?

Can Romney pull it round in his father’s state?

Or will McCain become an even bigger favourite? It’s Tuesday and that means, for the next month or so at least, that it’s primary time in the US. Today it’s been the voters of Michigan who are having their turn to decide who should occupy the GOP slot. There is voting on the Democratic nominee but no one will take any notice because of the state is in defiance of the party nationally, there has been no campaigning and the…

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Methtinks it’s time to be back backing Barack

Methtinks it’s time to be back backing Barack

Will he come out top in Nevada and South Carolina? Like many long-standing Obama backers, I’m sure, my confidence in his ability to do it was shaken by last week’s New Hampshire primary. What concerned me particularly was the way the the ex-President’s spouse was able to galvanise women voters and get them to the polls. This was a major achievement which if replicated across the country could make wininng the nomination a certainty. My Betfair book is reproduced above…

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It’s 7/1 that Hain will be “on his bike” this month

It’s 7/1 that Hain will be “on his bike” this month

Was it £200,000 well spent Peter? For me Labour-leaning blogger, Paul Linford, sums up Peter Hain’s predicament best – “…the real reason he’s finished is because he spent 200 grand coming fifth behind Harriet Harman in the deputy leadership contest. However things pan out with the donations story, Hain has been living on borrowed political time ever since that dismal result and the only way is down from now on.” To be be prepared to spend that sort of money…

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Will Labour pay a political price for NR nationalisation?

Will Labour pay a political price for NR nationalisation?

Was action delayed because of the planned November election? With the government having lined up a veteran City executive, Ron Sandler, to run a nationalised Northern Rock there’s been a big downward move on the stock market on the NR share price. The expectation is that if the government steps in then equity investors will suffer. But what is the political price of such a move which has been advocated by the Lib Dem treasury spokesman, Vince Cable, for several…

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…..Michigan…..Nevada…..South Carolina

…..Michigan…..Nevada…..South Carolina

Is McCain becoming unstoppable? With the next big battle in the GOP race taking place in the Michigan primary tomorrow new national polls have reported leads of 8% and 15% for John McCain – the 71 year old who in the run up to Christmas looked as though he was finished. He’s now the 1.38/1 favourite to take the prize. Tomorrow all eyes will be focussed on Michigan which is really the last big chance for Mitt Romney to make…

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