A new storm is brewing tonight in the fight for the Democratic nomination – a suggestion that in one of her Ohio and Texas TV ads that the Hillary campaign darkened Obama’s skin. The above is from the American Blog although the story first started on the Daily Kos. This one is bound to run. Mike Smithson
What about a “something untoward” wager? Some bookmakers have already paid out on John McCain securing the Republican nomination for the November Presidential election. While that’s very commendable it is important to note that he isn’t the nominee yet and we’ll have to wait until the party convention in September before this is formalised. Betfair, which has seen nearly £1.8m matched on this market, will be holding onto punters’ money (and earning a nice slab of interest) until everything is…
Does anybody out there care about EU matters? After last night’s big commons vote rejecting a referendum on the Lisbon treats it is perhaps worth looking at how all of this ranks in the public’s mind. For once again there’s strong polling evidence that it barely registers as an issue that voters care about. For after a period when the big political story has been Britain’s relationship with the EU the latest Ipsos-MORI monitor is out with, amongst other things…
Is the Jasper resignation the beginning or the end? Anybody betting on the London Mayoral election should check out this interview with the Evening Standard’s Andrew Gilligan which appeared in the Independent a couple of days ago. What I found striking from the piece was his step by step approach of never revealing all at one go. The Jasper revelations and resignation won’t be the last, story that he’ll try to do on Ken’s custodianship of the Mayoralty between now…
The delegate totals might be a problem – but the narrative’s changed On Monday night it was suggested here that it was “being premature” to write Hillary’s political obituary because the numbers coming from the latest polls suggested that there had been a significant shift away from Obama. Late polling changes like that on the eve of an election are usually significant and so it has been with Super Tuesday 2. As I write the Texas results are not yet…
A typically relaxed PtP awaits news from Ohio & Texas Firstly, very special thanks to Harry for hosting us tonight at Elite – we have now all been in position at our trading desks since about 9pm. The biggest profit so far has been on a greyhound race at Hall Green (thanks to an insider’s tip!) although I’m sure that will change! We are all tuned to CNN and Fox watching events unfold and this has been an excellent “dry-run”…
But could the mass of early voting underpin Obama? With less than two hours to go before the polls closed in the first of the four key primaries tonight the latest Gallup tracking poll suggests that the momentum might be moving back to Hillary. A big issue though, particularly in Texas, is how the hundreds of thousands of people who took part in the early voting will have gone. Could this be Obama’s secret weapon tonight? We will see. All…
Mayoral betting is here