Did Hillary really bring peace to Northern Ireland?

Did Hillary really bring peace to Northern Ireland?

Will the First Lady records substantiate her “experience” claims? After managing to turn up the heat last week on Obama’s experience the media narrative has turned the other way and what she says she did as First Lady is being put under the microscope. One of the specific claims that is under scrutiny is her statement: “I helped bring peace to Northern Ireland”. A comment from the unionist leader at the time and Nobel Prize winner, David Trimble, is causing…

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Labour and Lib Dem boost in Populus poll

Labour and Lib Dem boost in Populus poll

But Cameron sees an increase in his personal ratings The Populus survey for the Times has just been published and shows a significant increase for Labour and, as predicted here this morning, a boost for the Lib Dems. These shares are with changes on a month ago CON 37% (-3): LAB 34% (+3): LD 19%(+2) The numbers are fairly similar to that which the pollster found at the start of January, immediately after the Christmas break. The Lib Dems will…

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Sean Fear’s Slot…

Sean Fear’s Slot…

The View from East Anglia East Anglia is a part of the country that the Conservatives have increasingly come to dominate over the past 50 years. For many years after the war, Labour provided a real challenge to the Conservatives in this region, both in rural constituencies, like North, South, and South West Norfolk, Eye, and Maldon, and in urban areas like Norwich, Ipswich, and much of South Essex, with its new towns. Labour’s (and pre-war, the Liberals’) rural strength…

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So what should Nick Clegg expect from the polls?

So what should Nick Clegg expect from the polls?

Will the week’s media spotlight have produced a higher LD share? Here’s a ballsy prediction that could fall flat on its face – the Populus poll for March that should be due out this evening will not show a reduction for the Lib Dems but will have the party holding its own or moving forward. On the face of it this would appear counter-intuitive given some of the savagings Nick Clegg has had to endure over the past few days…

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Is it worth a covering bet on Gore?

Is it worth a covering bet on Gore?

Could he be the only one to break the Clinton-Obama deadlock? It was bound to happen but it does sound plausible – there’s now discussion from respected bloggers that should the Democratic nomination remain deadlocked then there could still be an opportunity for the ex-VP and Nobel Prize winner, Al Gore. Taegan Goddard on “Political Insider” writes: “It’s clear that for either Sen. Barack Obama or Sen. Hillary Clinton to win the Democratic presidential nomination, they’ll have to win the…

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Is this public school Oxford man Brown’s successor?

Is this public school Oxford man Brown’s successor?

Has Gord anointed Balls as the next Labour leader? After more than a decade of serving under the ex-public school boy and Oxford graduate, Tony Blair, it’s suggested this morning that Gord has decided that Labour’s next leader should be Ed Balls – who went to a £10,000 a year public school as a day pupil and then onto Oxford. According to Iain Martin in the Sunday Telegraph Brown is planning to hand-over to his former top aide and now…

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Why I think Hillary is still in with a shout

Why I think Hillary is still in with a shout

This could be about the narrative – not the numbers Firstly can I make clear that the last post was by my son Robert and not me – as some on the thread suggested. I have not changed my mind from Wednesday and believe that in spite of the apparent mathematical disadvantage that Hillary might just still do it. A good test of US opinion is the Iowa Electronic Market – an institution that was set up by the state…

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Can Clinton Do It?

Can Clinton Do It?

Hillary has a plan; win the popular vote and persuade the super-delegates that she is not just the better candidate but has a moral claim to the nomination. Should the gap in pledged delegates be less than 100, then this might just work. The only problem she has is that the maths is hard; very hard. Excluding Florida, Hillary needs to pull back 410,000 votes between now and the final primary. (And she’ll be hard pressed to include Puerto Rico…

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