Sporting Index Spread Markets The buy price for the Tories on Sporting Index has hit the 360 mark for the first time as punters pile onto the Tories. I was hoping for the othe main market, Extrabet, to put out revised numbers today but, alas, nothing.
CONSERVATIVES 45% (+2) LABOUR 33% (-4) LIB DEMS 16% (+3) YouGov: London moves further to the Tories A new YouGov poll on voting intentions in London is out in tonight’s Evening Standard. The comparisons above are with the last such poll which was published in mid-January. Then it appeared that the swing to Cameron’s party was less than in the rest of the country. That trend is still there though things have got much worse for Labour nationally. Today’s poll…
SEE IMPORTANT UPDATE BELOW Did Lord West actually place a SELL Labour spread bet? There were two initial mysteries over the Sunday Times report that one of Gordon Brown’s ministers had bet against the party in mid-2007 – just about the time that the next PM entered Downing Street. Who was it and how on earth could he get such massive odds on Labour not winning? For the quoted price of 66/1 that the papers said that the man, now…
BBC News ANC misses 2/3rds, DA wins W Cape, COPE disappointing So, for the first time during the post-apartheid era, the ANC had to pull out all the stops during an election campaign, the emergence of the new COPE party galvanising its efforts, and in the event, its vote share at 65.9% was only four points down on 2004. However the ANC will not have a constitution-changing two-thirds majority in the new National Assembly, with its final tally of 264…
The People Will Ed swap jobs with Jacqui in June? I’ve just caught up with the above is story from The People which on reading sounds highly plausible. Ed Balls is hugely ambitious and as, so it is said, Brown’s choice as successor we should expect Number 10 to do everything to help. And what could help Balls most in his positioning for the leadership than to be holding or have held one of the three main offices of state?…
SERVER SOFTWARE HAS BEEN UPDATED, HOPEFULLY THERE WILL BE NO PROBLEMS! BUT THERE MAY BE SOME ISSUES IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS How will the Budget be viewed by football fans? So, Alistair Darling did go for Clear Red Water after all, as some of us predicted he might last week. The new 50% top rate of tax has been one of the main headline-grabbers of the budget, alongside the record-breaking predictions for borrowing. Much of the criticism of the…
UPDATED CON 45(nc) LAB 27(nc) LD 17(-1) At least for Gord it is not getting any worse News is now coming through of the new YouGov poll which is showing almost exactly the same party shares as in yesterday’s Daily Telegraph. The only difference being a oine point decline for the Lib Dems. The poll has been commissioned by the Sunday People. Interestingly like in the earlier YouGov poll there’s broad support for the specific budget measures. The problem is…
Or might it be the means to re-igniting the party after a defeat? For psephologists, one of the most interesting policies expounded by the Conservative party is that they will introduce individual voter registration to ‘restore the integrity of the ballot‘. It is considered a severe loop-hole that households are the registering unit at present, and that this leaves the system open to vote fraud – a problem that can be compounded by postal voting. No-one can be certain of…