YouGov: Labour members say Gord should go

YouGov: Labour members say Gord should go

A new YouGov poll, just out, of Labour members for Channel 4, finds that “a majority think he should step down before the next election – and more than one in five think he should go now.” The Channel 4 report is a bit short on the actual numbers and we are not told when the survey was carried out or what the sample size was. We do know, however, that the online pollster has been able to all-Labour members…

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Why Labour shouldn’t put its hopes on the economy

Why Labour shouldn’t put its hopes on the economy

It’s Gord that’s the problem – however much they deny it I’ve just been listening to Radio 4’s “The Week in Westminster” and Diane Abbott MP was lucidly arguing that it’s the MPs expense scandal and the economy that’s behind Labour’s travails – NOT Gordon Brown. Once we get to the election, she argued, everything would depend on the economy and who was seen to best placed to deal with it. During a lively discussion the old Clinton mantra “It’s…

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More by-election fun in Norwich North

More by-election fun in Norwich North

Now for some betting action… I spent all of yesterday with Iain Dale and Hopi Sen on the PLAY Talk Radio show covering the local election results, the PM’s press conference, the mother of all reshuffles, and general political debates of the day. By my reckoning we had between 4 and 6 months’ news yesterday, but the 9-and-a-half hour show was topped with a PoliticalBetting.com cherry: a competitive by-election sparked by the resignation of Labour MP Dr Ian Gibson in…

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Your predictions for Sunday night

Your predictions for Sunday night

What to do you think the Great Britain Tory vote will be in the Euro Elections? 0 – 24.9% 25 – 25.9% 26 – 26.9% 27 – 27.9% 28 – 28.9% 29 – 29.9% 30 – 30.9% 31% – 100%    Which party will be in SECOND PLACE in terms of vote share in the GB Euro Election? LABOUR LIB DEM UKIP None of the above    Which party will be in THIRD PLACE in terms of vote share in…

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So he survives – but for how much longer?

So he survives – but for how much longer?

And what about the Euros and now the Norwich by election? We knew this was going to be one helluva political day and so it has been. Right through the night to Browns late afternoon press conference when news came through of Caroline Flint’s resignation. There’s an interesting story there that we haven’t heard the last of. She gave Gord a strong endorsement last night just as James Purnell was doing his worst – why just nineteen hours later is…

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Punters push Tory spreads to record levels

Punters push Tory spreads to record levels

SportingIndex CON 360-365 LAB 203-208 LD 53-56 But the TV “experts” project a Tory majority of just 4 A big gap has opened up this afternoon between the punters – those who back up their general election predictions with hard cash – and the TV academics who have been analysing the local election results. So while SkyNews has been projecting, based on the handful of results in so far, a Conservative general election total 327 seats the Sporting Index spreads…

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Is Ed Balls the day’s big loser?

Is Ed Balls the day’s big loser?

Even his wife is getting a promotion This was the day, surely, when Ed Balls was supposed to have reinforced his case to be Brown’s successor through being appointed to one of the three main offices of state. A month ago the Home Office was being talked about and he became strong favourite on the betting markets. Then last weekend the big news was that he was going to take over at the Treasury from Alistair Darling. Well neither of…

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Is Gord going to scrape through?

Is Gord going to scrape through?

But what will the Euros bring? The original plan had been to have the re-shuffle on Monday after the EU elections had been made known. Well that’s had to be brought forward and while the local results come in we are getting the re-shuffle. In many ways you have to admire Brown’s resilience and resolve but there’s no doubt that he’s been badly damaged by the events of the past few days and the pressure will be piled on as…

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