Could getting tantalising close cause him to pause on the date?

Could getting tantalising close cause him to pause on the date?

Might June 3rd just be back on the agenda? One thing’s for certain as we move towards the long Easter weekend – a final decision has to be taken in the next few days by Gordon, and by Gordon alone, if he is to set the wheels in motion for a May 6th general election. However much a foregone conclusion this might appear he has still got to decide and on this might rest any chance that Labour has of…

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Marf’s take on Labour’s pledge-card

Marf’s take on Labour’s pledge-card

I’m delighted that Marf, PB’s cartoonist from far back, is making a return – after all we could not do without her sharp observation and biting satire during the campaign. She’ll be one of many PBers who are attending Wednesday’s London event at Dirty Dicks opposite Liverpool Street station. It starts at at 6.30pm and I’ve suggested that she brings along some prints and originals of her PB work in case anybody wants to acquire one. Radio 4’s Westminster Hour….

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The Sweet FA prediction model

The Sweet FA prediction model

Is it all down to the colours of the current FA cup holders? Ipsos-MORI Thanks to Roger Mortimore of Ipsos-MORI for coming up with this fun approach. He wrote:- “….All you have to do to predict which of the major parties will have an overall majority in the Commons following the election is to note the shirt colours usually worn by the current holders (on election day) of the FA Cup. If their shirts are predominantly in the Conservative colours…

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Are the Tories playing the Gordon card too early?

Are the Tories playing the Gordon card too early?

Would they be doing this now but for the polls? The ads above are the first from Tory party’s new releationship with M&C Saatchi who, now doubt, have done a lot of research on what images of the PM most suit their purpose. It was inevitable that at some stage during the camapign that the Tories would play what they believe is their strongest card – Gordon Brown’s unpopularity. For even during the recent Labour recovery in the polls the…

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And the gap widens with YouGov and YouGov/BPIX

And the gap widens with YouGov and YouGov/BPIX

YG daily poll: Sunday Times Mar 26 Mar 25 CONSERVATIVES 37% 37% LABOUR 32% 33% LIB DEMS 19% 18% LAB to CON swing from 2005 4% 3.5% YG/BPIX: Mail on Sunday Mar 26 Mar 5 CONSERVATIVES 37% 36% LABOUR 30% 34% LIB DEMS 20% 18% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5% 2.5% Two further polls add to the picture After the ICM poll earlier showing an increase in the Tory lead from 6 to 8 points we are getting…

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Tories extend their lead with ICM

Tories extend their lead with ICM

ICM News of the World Mar 26 Mar 19 CONSERVATIVES 39% 38% LABOUR 31% 32% LIB DEMS 19% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5.5% 4.5% Wiil this bring welcome relief to the blues? The above figures are being reported by SkyNews and give the Tories an eighrt point lead which is probably enough to secure a small overall majority. This follows a week dominated by the YouGov daily polls which had the gap down to just two points…

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How big will the Debates be?

How big will the Debates be?

How many will watch and what’ll be the impact? It’s almost certain that one of the highlights of the coming election will be the series of debates between the main party leaders. Working out how much the debates will impact on the election campaign is largely a judgement call but a crucial one. Britain has little experience of this sort of thing. The closest the country has is the weekly Prime Minister’s Questions but they are frequent, formulaic, limited in…

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Thumbs down for the Budget in new Angus Reid poll

Thumbs down for the Budget in new Angus Reid poll

Angus Reid But the pollster diverges with ComRes on who is most trusted There’ve been two polls on reactions to the budget – one earlier from ComRes and the latest, where fieldwork continued into Friday, from Angus Reid. The panel above has two of the findings. Another AR question related to how the public rated Brown and Cameron on these matters. These findings are in sharp contrast to a poll earlier from ComRes. When asked who voters trusted most to…

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